Election predictions thread

[Honeyman]

It would seem major retailers are betting on a Trump win. National retailers are having stores located in cities with Democratic voting majorities, as well as Democratic political control, board up their storefronts prior to the election.

I doubt they're worried about a bunch of Republicans storming their retail areas and busting windows and looting in the wake of a Biden win. There is a fair amount of cost involved with this. Looks like their money is on Trump being re-elected.

Have you ever been in a major city when their sports team wins a championship?

[ftballfan]

I think Trump very narrowly wins. He holds at least two of WI, MI, and PA and comes close to flipping MN red. Biden wins the popular vote due to running up the score in the West Coast and Northeastern states.

The Peters/James race ends up within 1% (with James on top) and this race determines control of the Senate.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

Two changes from what I had before: Pennsylvania stays red after contested recount, and Georgia flips blue. 285-253 Biden. If Georgia were not to flip blue, we would have a 269-269 tie with total carnage and a civil war. Would not be shocked if Iowa turned blue but have it staying red. Wisconsin flips blue, and Minnesota. stays blue. Ohio stays red. Arizona flips. South Carolina comes close to flipping but stays red.

Michigan goes red for Trump as I predicted before, but Peters wins by less than 1%.

Dems take Senate 51-49. Collins, Graham(shocker of the night), Perdue, McSally, and Ernst lose.

Proud Boys start riots in several areas on Friday. Trump does not concede until after Thanksgiving and gives shortest concession speech ever.

Donald tried and convicted of treason and money laundering in March.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/RlEpd

[bmw]

Arizona finally flipped to red:

https://www.predictit.org/

Just 1 more state to go before Trump is favored.

[Honeyman]

Arizona finally flipped to red:

https://www.predictit.org/

Just 1 more state to go before Trump is favored.

Load up, bitch!

Biden -180 at Bovada
https://www.bovada.lv/sports/politics

[bmw]

You can get 2 to 1 on your money (turn $100 into $300) by betting on Biden winning the electoral college by between 1 and 149 electoral votes.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detai ... l-election

I personally own:
800 shares of Dems 30-59
800 shares of Dems 10-29
3,000 shares GOP by 0-9
3,000 shares of GOP by 10-29
575 shares of GOP by 30-59

[Honeyman]

You can get 2 to 1 on your money (turn $100 into $300) by betting on Biden winning the electoral college by between 1 and 149 electoral votes.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detai ... l-election

I personally own:
800 shares of Dems 30-59
800 shares of Dems 10-29
3,000 shares GOP by 0-9
3,000 shares of GOP by 10-29
575 shares of GOP by 30-59

So I would want to bet Dems 60-99 if I was backing my prediction?

Joe Biden will be the next President of the United States, winning the electoral college 306-231.

[bmw]

Yep, and you would win roughly 12 to 1 on your money ($1200 for a $100 purchase)

[Honeyman]

Yep, and you would win roughly 12 to 1 on your money ($1200 for a $100 purchase)

Thanks....I'll give it a shot.

These guys pay off, huh? Some on-line sites are sketchy.

[TC Talks]

TCT - your map is plausible with one exception - Indiana. It is the reddest of red states - in fact, it is even a heavier red favorite (95) than California is blue (94).

EDIT - oh, and Arkansas. It is one of only 2 red states rated at 98.

I missed Indiana. I agree with that. AR wouldn't make much difference but I believe it will be blue.

[TC Talks]

It would seem major retailers are betting on a Trump win. National retailers are having stores located in cities with Democratic voting majorities, as well as Democratic political control, board up their storefronts prior to the election.

I doubt they're worried about a bunch of Republicans storming their retail areas and busting windows and looting in the wake of a Biden win. There is a fair amount of cost involved with this. Looks like their money is on Trump being re-elected.

Have you ever been in a major city when their sports team wins a championship?

Bryce I think these are chainwide policies. They're boarding up in New York and there's absolutely no chance for rioting in Manhattan.

How would it look if they only boarded up stores in the predominantly minority areas? That would certainly be racist.

[TC Talks]

Two changes from what I had before: Pennsylvania stays red after contested recount, and Georgia flips blue. 285-253 Biden. If Georgia were not to flip blue, we would have a 269-269 tie with total carnage and a civil war. Would not be shocked if Iowa turned blue but have it staying red. Wisconsin flips blue, and Minnesota. stays blue. Ohio stays red. Arizona flips. South Carolina comes close to flipping but stays red.

Michigan goes red for Trump as I predicted before, but Peters wins by less than 1%.

Dems take Senate 51-49. Collins, Graham(shocker of the night), Perdue, McSally, and Ernst lose.

Proud Boys start riots in several areas on Friday. Trump does not concede until after Thanksgiving and gives shortest concession speech ever.

Donald tried and convicted of treason and money laundering in March.

and raped in prison...

[bmw]

Yep, and you would win roughly 12 to 1 on your money ($1200 for a $100 purchase)

Thanks....I'll give it a shot.

These guys pay off, huh? Some on-line sites are sketchy.

They are owned and run by a major university in New Zealand. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PredictIt

I've never personally cashed out (I still have like $2400 in my account) but there are Disquss comments sections in every market (some of them VERY active) and nobody has once complained that I've ever seen about not getting paid.

[Honeyman]

Yep, and you would win roughly 12 to 1 on your money ($1200 for a $100 purchase)

Thanks....I'll give it a shot.

These guys pay off, huh? Some on-line sites are sketchy.

They are owned and run by a major university in New Zealand. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PredictIt

I've never personally cashed out (I still have like $2400 in my account) but there are Disquss comments sections in every market (some of them VERY active) and nobody has once complained that I've ever seen about not getting paid.

Thanks.

GL....on 1600 of your shares

[Matt]

TCT - your map is plausible with one exception - Indiana. It is the reddest of red states - in fact, it is even a heavier red favorite (95) than California is blue (94).

EDIT - oh, and Arkansas. It is one of only 2 red states rated at 98.

I missed Indiana. I agree with that. AR wouldn't make much difference but I believe it will be blue.

Are you confusing Arkansas and Iowa? There's not a chance Arkansas goes blue....