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2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Debate and discussion of current events and political issues across the U.S. and throughout the World. Be forewarned -- this forum is NOT for the intellectually weak or those of you with thin skins. Don't come crying to me if you become the subject of ridicule. **Board Administrator reserves the right to revoke posting privileges based on my sole discretion**
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MotorCityRadioFreak
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Joined: Wed Jul 29, 2020 6:26 am
Location: Warren, MI

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Unread post by MotorCityRadioFreak »

Rate This wrote: Thu Aug 01, 2024 2:09 am
Matt wrote: Wed Jul 31, 2024 4:10 pm Currently, predictit is showing a 51/51 tie (no idea how that works).
Now a 51-49 Harris lead.

July 31

Economist / YouGov
General Election:
Harris 46
Trump 44
Kennedy 3
Stein 0
West 0

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46
Republicans 44

Hoffman Research
Oregon General Election:
Harris 49
Trump 44

Harris 45
Trump 40
Kennedy 7
Stein 1

PPP
Arizona General Election:
Trump 49
Harris 47

Georgia General Election:
Harris 48
Trump 47

Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 48
Harris 47
No chance in hell Oregon is that close. Biden won by 11 I believe. I could see 8 at worst. More like anywhere from 9-11.

Edit: Biden won by 16 in Oregon!
They/them, non-binary and proud.

Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
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Rate This
Posts: 17361
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Unread post by Rate This »

MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: Thu Aug 01, 2024 2:13 am
Rate This wrote: Thu Aug 01, 2024 2:09 am
Matt wrote: Wed Jul 31, 2024 4:10 pm Currently, predictit is showing a 51/51 tie (no idea how that works).
Now a 51-49 Harris lead.

July 31

Economist / YouGov
General Election:
Harris 46
Trump 44
Kennedy 3
Stein 0
West 0

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46
Republicans 44

Hoffman Research
Oregon General Election:
Harris 49
Trump 44

Harris 45
Trump 40
Kennedy 7
Stein 1

PPP
Arizona General Election:
Trump 49
Harris 47

Georgia General Election:
Harris 48
Trump 47

Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 48
Harris 47
No chance in hell Oregon is that close. Biden won by 11 I believe. I could see 8 at worst. More like anywhere from 9-11.

Edit: Biden won by 16 in Oregon!
It’s a Republican pollster. The kind that does work on behalf of candidates and may tell them what they want to hear.
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

This is a pro-Democracy account.

Dear America… you were warned.
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Rate This
Posts: 17361
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Unread post by Rate This »

August 1

Daily Kos / Civiqs
General Election:
Harris 49
Trump 45

Rasmussen Reports
General Election:
Trump 49
Harris 44

Trump 46
Harris 45
Kennedy 5
Stein 1
West 1

Fabrizio / Anzalone
Ohio General Election:
Trump 52
Harris 42

Trump 48
Harris 39
Kennedy 9
Stein 1
Democrat leads the senate race by 4.
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

This is a pro-Democracy account.

Dear America… you were warned.
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Rate This
Posts: 17361
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Unread post by Rate This »

August 2

Trafalgar / Insider Advantage
Georgia General Election:
Trump 49
Harris 47
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

This is a pro-Democracy account.

Dear America… you were warned.
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Honeyman
Posts: 7179
Joined: Wed Dec 15, 2010 4:44 pm

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Unread post by Honeyman »

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silve ... -146002606

After another day of strong polling, Kamala Harris has pulled ahead of Donald Trump for the first time since the forecast launched. Although the race is still a toss-up, Harris leads Trump by 1.4 points in our national polling average, and has a 51 percent chance of winning the electoral college.
The censorship king from out of state.
Matt
Posts: 12037
Joined: Mon Dec 06, 2004 12:18 pm
Location: Home of the National Champions

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Unread post by Matt »

Honeyman wrote: Sun Aug 04, 2024 7:20 pm https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silve ... -146002606

After another day of strong polling, Kamala Harris has pulled ahead of Donald Trump for the first time since the forecast launched. Although the race is still a toss-up, Harris leads Trump by 1.4 points in our national polling average, and has a 51 percent chance of winning the electoral college.
I think Silver had Trump at 76% to win when he was facing Biden.
248 years was a pretty good run

#WWLIJ
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Rate This
Posts: 17361
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Unread post by Rate This »

August 4

CBS News
General Election:
Harris 50
Trump 49

Harris 49
Trump 47
Kennedy 2
West 0
Stein 0
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

This is a pro-Democracy account.

Dear America… you were warned.
User avatar
Rate This
Posts: 17361
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Unread post by Rate This »

August 5

Morning Consult
General Election:
Harris 48
Trump 44

Survey USA
General Election:
Harris 48
Trump 45

I&I / TIPP
General Election:
Harris 46
Trump 45

Harris 44
Trump 42
Kennedy 7
Stein 1
West 1
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

This is a pro-Democracy account.

Dear America… you were warned.
User avatar
Rate This
Posts: 17361
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Unread post by Rate This »

August 6

Siena
New York General Election:
Harris 53
Trump 39

Harris 49
Trump 37
Kennedy 7
Stein 2
West 1
*Democrat leads Senate race by 23*

NPR / PBS / Marist
General Election:
Harris 51
Trump 48

Harris 48
Trump 45
Kennedy 5
Stein 1
West 0

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 47
Republicans 45
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

This is a pro-Democracy account.

Dear America… you were warned.
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Honeyman
Posts: 7179
Joined: Wed Dec 15, 2010 4:44 pm

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Unread post by Honeyman »

Predictit has:

Kamala 56c
Trump. 46c
The censorship king from out of state.
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Rate This
Posts: 17361
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Unread post by Rate This »

Honeyman wrote: Wed Aug 07, 2024 3:51 pm Predictit has:

Kamala 56c
Trump. 46c
That's quite a turn of events there.
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

This is a pro-Democracy account.

Dear America… you were warned.
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