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Terms of Use have been amended effective October 6, 2019. Make sure you are aware of the new rules! Please visit this thread for details: https://www.mibuzzboard.com/phpBB3/view ... 16&t=48619
Election predictions thread
Election predictions thread
I'm going to say:
Whitmer by 2.5
MI8 - Kildee (D)
MI7 - Slotkin (D)
MI3 - Gibbs (R)
House Overall - Republicans Pick up 36 seats
Senate:
Whitmer by 2.5
MI8 - Kildee (D)
MI7 - Slotkin (D)
MI3 - Gibbs (R)
House Overall - Republicans Pick up 36 seats
Senate:
Re: Election predictions thread
Don't follow Michigan politics but I'll say Whitmer wins.
I'll throw out 28 seat gain for the GOP's in the house.
Senate: Republicans 51 Democrats 48
(Georgia goes to a runoff)
I'll throw out 28 seat gain for the GOP's in the house.
Senate: Republicans 51 Democrats 48
(Georgia goes to a runoff)
The censorship king from out of state.
Re: Election predictions thread
Beemer, can you post the rules for our bet in here too so I know what I’m looking for?
My predictions and some thoughts:
Republicans gain 15-20 in the house.
Democrats win in Pennsylvania, Georgia Wisconsin and Arizona. Republicans get Nevada, North Carolina and Ohio. So the senate would be 51-49 Democrat.
Whitmer, Benson and Nessel win re-election but not before the three Republicans make a shit show out of it with fraud claims after the absentee ballots come in at 5am Wednesday having declared victory up 10-15 points at 11pm.
Some questions that will probably be answered in due time:
Is there a surprise influx of Democrats over abortion or does inflation rule the day?
How many Republicans claim fraud and will any of the statewide candidates here claim victory at 11pm before the absentee ballots come in and claim fraud when the lead goes away or it becomes nearly tied?
Just how accurate were the polls and was there any Trump supporter non-response bias or were Democrats under-counted?
Which party did the better job of getting its supporters to turn out?
My predictions and some thoughts:
Republicans gain 15-20 in the house.
Democrats win in Pennsylvania, Georgia Wisconsin and Arizona. Republicans get Nevada, North Carolina and Ohio. So the senate would be 51-49 Democrat.
Whitmer, Benson and Nessel win re-election but not before the three Republicans make a shit show out of it with fraud claims after the absentee ballots come in at 5am Wednesday having declared victory up 10-15 points at 11pm.
Some questions that will probably be answered in due time:
Is there a surprise influx of Democrats over abortion or does inflation rule the day?
How many Republicans claim fraud and will any of the statewide candidates here claim victory at 11pm before the absentee ballots come in and claim fraud when the lead goes away or it becomes nearly tied?
Just how accurate were the polls and was there any Trump supporter non-response bias or were Democrats under-counted?
Which party did the better job of getting its supporters to turn out?
Re: Election predictions thread
I will be kinda ticked off if you win this bet on nothing more than Dems outperforming the polling average. There's a lot of R-leaning polls as of late that I'm getting a bit concerned about that average.bmw wrote: ↑Wed Oct 19, 2022 5:56 amI propose a friendly bet then. A forum pic bet. The winner gets to choose the loser's forum picture, which must be kept as your forum picture for 2 weeks.
Here's the bet:
I win if all of the following happens:
-Republicans take the House
-Republicans win the Senate race in NC
-Republicans win at least 2 of the 4 following Senate races: GA, PA, AZ, NV
-Republicans outperform the RCP polling average (by at least 0.1 percentage points) as it exists on election day in at least 3 of the 5 Senate races above (NV, PA, GA, NC, AZ)
You win if any of the above 4 propositions fails.
Re: Election predictions thread
This is a great bet! Can the rest of us play by "suggesting" pictures?
The censorship king from out of state.
- audiophile
- Posts: 8654
- Joined: Sat Dec 04, 2004 9:21 pm
- Location: Between 88 and 108 MHz.
Re: Election predictions thread
I don't know any republicans that will answer a poll...
Ask not what your country can do FOR you; ask what they are about to do TO YOU!!
Re: Election predictions thread
Sure. Especially since it will be some time before we have final official numbers which will affect the polling average part of the bet. Also the chance of a GA runoff could delay the outcome of this bet for a while.
Re: Election predictions thread
Cool! Thinking Marjorie Taylor Greene for RT and leaning Bernie for you.....but need to give this more serious thought.
The censorship king from out of state.
Re: Election predictions thread
I don't know any democrat with a land line.
“Blessed are those who are righteous in his name.”
― Matt
Posting Content © 2024 TC Talks Holdings LP.
― Matt
Posting Content © 2024 TC Talks Holdings LP.
Re: Election predictions thread
Jim Kolbe will.
Re: Election predictions thread
I'm not participating, but I'll throw in a respectable bottle of Kentucky Bourbon to the winner.
Good luck to everyone.
Good luck to everyone.
“Blessed are those who are righteous in his name.”
― Matt
Posting Content © 2024 TC Talks Holdings LP.
― Matt
Posting Content © 2024 TC Talks Holdings LP.
- MotorCityRadioFreak
- Posts: 6555
- Joined: Wed Jul 29, 2020 6:26 am
- Location: Warren, MI
Re: Election predictions thread
Benson wins by 6-7%.
Whitmer wins by 2-3%.
Dana loses by 1%.
John James cruises by Carl Marlinga by 7%.
Michelle Smith defeats Nate Shannon by 2%.
Proposal 1 fails in a close one. Proposal 2 passes by 10%. Proposal 3 passes by 2%.
Whitmer wins by 2-3%.
Dana loses by 1%.
John James cruises by Carl Marlinga by 7%.
Michelle Smith defeats Nate Shannon by 2%.
Proposal 1 fails in a close one. Proposal 2 passes by 10%. Proposal 3 passes by 2%.
They/them, non-binary and proud.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
Re: Election predictions thread
TurkeyTop is a Socialist. Pretty much the same thing as a Democrat. He only has a landline. Of course he is Canadian, so that may not count.
New York and Chicago were all in with respect to their sanctuary status — until they were hit with the challenge of actually providing sanctuary. In other words, typical liberal hypocrisy.
Re: Election predictions thread
Good point… I forgot the proposals… I’m gonna say proposals 1 and 2 pass easily and 3 wins narrowly.MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 2:46 pmBenson wins by 6-7%.
Whitmer wins by 2-3%.
Dana loses by 1%.
John James cruises by Carl Marlinga by 7%.
Michelle Smith defeats Nate Shannon by 2%.
Proposal 1 fails in a close one. Proposal 2 passes by 10%. Proposal 3 passes by 2%.
- FakeAndyStuart
- Posts: 497
- Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2015 7:07 pm
- Location: MOVED! Now residing in CurmudgeonLand
Re: Election predictions thread
Whitmer wins and drags along a lot of D's with her, including Nessel. Probably the only coattails race in the country.
Fetterman wins, narrowly. Oz doesn't concede.
Vance wins by a BCH in Ohio, and Ryan does concede.
Georgia is a runoff.
Senate stays 50/50 and House goes R by less than 15 seats. McCarthy does not get Speaker on first vote, and D's refuse to help him.
Overall, Congress gets nothing done for two full years, and campaigning for President starts Nov 9th, 2022.
Fetterman wins, narrowly. Oz doesn't concede.
Vance wins by a BCH in Ohio, and Ryan does concede.
Georgia is a runoff.
Senate stays 50/50 and House goes R by less than 15 seats. McCarthy does not get Speaker on first vote, and D's refuse to help him.
Overall, Congress gets nothing done for two full years, and campaigning for President starts Nov 9th, 2022.