Are those two newcomers in North Carolina?Rate This wrote: ↑Thu Aug 18, 2022 11:19 pmAugust 18
Fabrizio / Anzalone
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 51 Tudor Dixon (R) 46
FOX News
Wisconsin Governor:
Tony Evers (D) 49 Tim Michels (R) 46
Wisconsin Governor:
Mandela Barnes (D) 50 Ron Johnson (R) 46
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 50 Blake Masters (R) 42
Arizona Governor:
Katie Hobbs (D) 47 Kari Lake (R) 44
Civitas / Cygnal
North Carolina Senate:
Ted Budd (R) 42 Cherie Beasley (D) 42
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2022 Midterm Polling Thread
- MotorCityRadioFreak
- Posts: 6555
- Joined: Wed Jul 29, 2020 6:26 am
- Location: Warren, MI
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
They/them, non-binary and proud.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
Budd is in the House now. Beasley is a state Supreme Court Judge. They're running for Burr's seat who decided not to run.MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: ↑Tue Aug 23, 2022 1:53 amAre those two newcomers in North Carolina?Rate This wrote: ↑Thu Aug 18, 2022 11:19 pmAugust 18
Fabrizio / Anzalone
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 51 Tudor Dixon (R) 46
FOX News
Wisconsin Governor:
Tony Evers (D) 49 Tim Michels (R) 46
Wisconsin Governor:
Mandela Barnes (D) 50 Ron Johnson (R) 46
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 50 Blake Masters (R) 42
Arizona Governor:
Katie Hobbs (D) 47 Kari Lake (R) 44
Civitas / Cygnal
North Carolina Senate:
Ted Budd (R) 42 Cherie Beasley (D) 42
The censorship king from out of state.
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
August 23
Trafalgar Group
Colorado Senate:
Michael Bennett (D) 47 Joe O'Dea (R) 42
Colorado Governor:
Jared Polis (D) 47 Heidi Ganahl (R) 42
Berkeley IGS
California Governor:
Gavin Newsom (D) 55 Brian Dahle (R) 31
WNYT-TV Albany, NY / Survey USA
New York Governor:
Kathy Hochul (D) 55 Lee Zeldin (R) 31
August 24
Economist / YouGov
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 44 Republicans 39
Politico / Morning Consult
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 47 Republicans 42
Politico also ran this which I'll throw in for fun...
2024 Republican Nomination:
Trump 57
Desantis 18
Pence 8
Haley 3
Cheney 3
Rubio 1
Scott 1
Christie 1
Pompeo 0
Trafalgar Group
Colorado Senate:
Michael Bennett (D) 47 Joe O'Dea (R) 42
Colorado Governor:
Jared Polis (D) 47 Heidi Ganahl (R) 42
Berkeley IGS
California Governor:
Gavin Newsom (D) 55 Brian Dahle (R) 31
WNYT-TV Albany, NY / Survey USA
New York Governor:
Kathy Hochul (D) 55 Lee Zeldin (R) 31
August 24
Economist / YouGov
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 44 Republicans 39
Politico / Morning Consult
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 47 Republicans 42
Politico also ran this which I'll throw in for fun...
2024 Republican Nomination:
Trump 57
Desantis 18
Pence 8
Haley 3
Cheney 3
Rubio 1
Scott 1
Christie 1
Pompeo 0
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
August 25
Emerson
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 48 Mehmet Oz (R) 44
Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 47 Doug Mastriano (R) 44
2024 Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 47 Biden 42
Franklin & Marshall College
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 43 Mehmet Oz (R) 30
Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 44 Doug Mastriano (R) 33
MIRS / Mitchell Research
Michigan 10th Congressional District:
John James (R) 47 Carl Marlinga (D) 38
August 26
Michigan News Source / Trafalgar
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 49 Tudor Dixon (R) 45
EPIC-MRA
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 50 Tudor Dixon (R) 39
SLU / YouGov
Missouri Senate:
Eric Schmitt (R) 49 Trudi Valentine (D) 38
Emerson
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 45 Democrats 44
2024 National General Election:
Biden 43 Trump 42
Rasmussen Reports
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 47 Democrats 42
Emerson
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 48 Mehmet Oz (R) 44
Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 47 Doug Mastriano (R) 44
2024 Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 47 Biden 42
Franklin & Marshall College
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 43 Mehmet Oz (R) 30
Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 44 Doug Mastriano (R) 33
MIRS / Mitchell Research
Michigan 10th Congressional District:
John James (R) 47 Carl Marlinga (D) 38
August 26
Michigan News Source / Trafalgar
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 49 Tudor Dixon (R) 45
EPIC-MRA
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 50 Tudor Dixon (R) 39
SLU / YouGov
Missouri Senate:
Eric Schmitt (R) 49 Trudi Valentine (D) 38
Emerson
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 45 Democrats 44
2024 National General Election:
Biden 43 Trump 42
Rasmussen Reports
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 47 Democrats 42
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
43-30? Are they saying 1/4 of the state is undecided?
The censorship king from out of state.
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
Must be… it’s early still. I think some polls give you an unsure option and others make you pick one and don’t give an out. Note the other Pennsylvania poll is much closer to 100%. It’s also possible this poll was screwed up or wonky somehow.
- FakeAndyStuart
- Posts: 497
- Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2015 7:07 pm
- Location: MOVED! Now residing in CurmudgeonLand
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
Neither screwed up or wonky. Just a little more honest than most..
Pretty deep dive into PA voters.In the Franklin and Marshall poll results, the poll takers wrote:Democrat John Fetterman currently holds an advantage over Republican Mehmet Oz in the 2022 race for Pennsylvania US Senator, 43% to 30%, although the race is a bit closer when those who are leaning toward a candidate are included (45% to 36%, Fetterman). Fetterman is viewed more favorably (43%) than unfavorably (36%) by the state’s voters, while Oz tends to be viewed more unfavorably (57%) than favorably (27%). More voters believe Fetterman best understands the concerns of Pennsylvanians (52% to 28%) and is closest to their views on social issues (46% to 32%), but the two candidates are relatively close when it comes to being viewed as having policies that will improve voters’ economic circumstances (37% to 33%).
- MotorCityRadioFreak
- Posts: 6555
- Joined: Wed Jul 29, 2020 6:26 am
- Location: Warren, MI
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
Keep running the awesome ads, and the wizard has no chance.
They/them, non-binary and proud.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
Remember that “2000 Mules” was concocted by a circus of elephants.
The right needs to stop worry about what’s between people’s legs. Instead, they should focus on what’s between their ears.
Audacity sucks.
- FakeAndyStuart
- Posts: 497
- Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2015 7:07 pm
- Location: MOVED! Now residing in CurmudgeonLand
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
I think polling right now is a giant waste of time. Here's the current state of the Ohio Senate race:
This poll (Dem) says it's a dead heat,
https://www.vindy.com/news/local-news/2 ... nate-race/
While I don't know if I trust it, there are some interesting favorability numbers that show Ryan much more favorably thought of by the electorate than Vance.
Then you have something called the "Decision Desk" , which appears to be right-leaning.. but I can't find the formula that says a 1 point polling advantage gives Vance a 50% probability advantage. Wild. This one could go either way. Especially if McConnell and his cronies bow out to try to save Oz and others.
This poll (Dem) says it's a dead heat,
https://www.vindy.com/news/local-news/2 ... nate-race/
While I don't know if I trust it, there are some interesting favorability numbers that show Ryan much more favorably thought of by the electorate than Vance.
Then you have something called the "Decision Desk" , which appears to be right-leaning.. but I can't find the formula that says a 1 point polling advantage gives Vance a 50% probability advantage. Wild. This one could go either way. Especially if McConnell and his cronies bow out to try to save Oz and others.
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
The storms Monday fried my computer so now I'm back up and running...
August 28
Trafalgar Group
Wisconsin Senate:
Mandela Barnes (D) 49 Ron Johnson (R) 47
Wisconsin Governor:
Tim Michels (R) 48 Tony Evers (D) 48
Missouri Scout
Missouri Senate:
Eric Schmitt (R) 51 Trudi Valentine (D) 40
Albuquerque Journal
New Mexico Governor:
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) 47 Mark Ronchetti (R) 40
CBS News Battleground Tracker
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 47 Democrats 45
August 29
Trafalgar Group
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 48 Blake Masters (R) 44
Arizona Governor:
Kari Lake (R) 47 Katie Hobbs (D) 46
August 30
Emerson
Georgia Senate:
Herschel Walker (R) 46 Raphael Warnock (D) 44
Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 48 Stacey Abrams (D) 44
Georgia 2024 General Election:
Trump 51 Biden 46
Trafalgar Group
South Carolina Governor:
Henry McMaster (R) 51 Joe Cunningham (D) 43
August 31
Trafalgar Group
Georgia Senate:
Herschel Walker (R) 48 Raphael Warnock (D) 47
Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 51 Stacey Abrams (D) 44
Susquehanna
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 49 Mehmet Oz (R) 44
PPP
North Carolina Senate:
Cheri Beasley (D) 42 Ted Budd (R) 41
Colorado Senate:
Michael Bennett (D) 46 Joe O'Dea (R) 35
Economist / YouGov
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46 Republicans 38
Quinnipiac
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 47 Republicans 43
Politico / Morning Consult
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 47 Republicans 42
September 1
Fabrizio / Anzalone
Nevada Senate:
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 48 Adam Laxalt (R) 47
Nevada Governor:
Joe Lombardo (R) 48 Steve Sisolak (D) 46
Trafalgar Group
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 47 Democrats 41
Wall Street Journal
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 47 Republicans 44
2024 General Election:
Biden 50 Trump 44
August 28
Trafalgar Group
Wisconsin Senate:
Mandela Barnes (D) 49 Ron Johnson (R) 47
Wisconsin Governor:
Tim Michels (R) 48 Tony Evers (D) 48
Missouri Scout
Missouri Senate:
Eric Schmitt (R) 51 Trudi Valentine (D) 40
Albuquerque Journal
New Mexico Governor:
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) 47 Mark Ronchetti (R) 40
CBS News Battleground Tracker
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 47 Democrats 45
August 29
Trafalgar Group
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 48 Blake Masters (R) 44
Arizona Governor:
Kari Lake (R) 47 Katie Hobbs (D) 46
August 30
Emerson
Georgia Senate:
Herschel Walker (R) 46 Raphael Warnock (D) 44
Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 48 Stacey Abrams (D) 44
Georgia 2024 General Election:
Trump 51 Biden 46
Trafalgar Group
South Carolina Governor:
Henry McMaster (R) 51 Joe Cunningham (D) 43
August 31
Trafalgar Group
Georgia Senate:
Herschel Walker (R) 48 Raphael Warnock (D) 47
Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 51 Stacey Abrams (D) 44
Susquehanna
Pennsylvania Senate:
John Fetterman (D) 49 Mehmet Oz (R) 44
PPP
North Carolina Senate:
Cheri Beasley (D) 42 Ted Budd (R) 41
Colorado Senate:
Michael Bennett (D) 46 Joe O'Dea (R) 35
Economist / YouGov
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46 Republicans 38
Quinnipiac
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 47 Republicans 43
Politico / Morning Consult
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 47 Republicans 42
September 1
Fabrizio / Anzalone
Nevada Senate:
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) 48 Adam Laxalt (R) 47
Nevada Governor:
Joe Lombardo (R) 48 Steve Sisolak (D) 46
Trafalgar Group
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 47 Democrats 41
Wall Street Journal
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 47 Republicans 44
2024 General Election:
Biden 50 Trump 44
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
September 2
Rasmussen Reports
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 47 Democrats 42
Trafalgar Group
Washington (State of) Senate:
Patty Murray (D) 49 Tiffany Smiley (R) 46
Rasmussen Reports
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 47 Democrats 42
Trafalgar Group
Washington (State of) Senate:
Patty Murray (D) 49 Tiffany Smiley (R) 46
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
September 3
Trafalgar Group / Insider Advantage
New York Governor:
Kathy Hochul (D) 48 Lee Zeldin (R) 43
Trafalgar Group / Insider Advantage
New York Governor:
Kathy Hochul (D) 48 Lee Zeldin (R) 43
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
September 5
Insider Advantage
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 45 Republicans 44
September 6
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/St. Paul / SuveyUSA
Minnesota Governor:
Tim Walz (D) 51 Scott Jensen (R) 33
Insider Advantage
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 45 Republicans 44
September 6
KSTP-TV Minneapolis/St. Paul / SuveyUSA
Minnesota Governor:
Tim Walz (D) 51 Scott Jensen (R) 33
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
September 7
WDIV-TV / The Detroit News
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 48 Tudor Dixon (R) 35
Trafalgar Group
North Carolina Senate:
Ted Budd (R) 47 Cheri Beasley (D) 44
Susquehanna
Florida Senate:
Marco Rubio (R) 47 Val Demings (D) 44
Florida Governor:
Ron DeSantis (R) 47 Charlie Crist (D) 43
Fabrizio / Anzalone
Florida Senate:
Marco Rubio (R) 49 Val Demings (D) 47
Florida Governor:
Ron DeSantis (R) 50 Charlie Crist (D) 47
University of Houston
Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 49 Beto O'Rourke (D) 42
PPP
Washington Senate:
Patty Murray (D) 48 Tiffany Smiley (R) 39
Economist / YouGov
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 44 Republicans 38
WDIV-TV / The Detroit News
Michigan Governor:
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 48 Tudor Dixon (R) 35
Trafalgar Group
North Carolina Senate:
Ted Budd (R) 47 Cheri Beasley (D) 44
Susquehanna
Florida Senate:
Marco Rubio (R) 47 Val Demings (D) 44
Florida Governor:
Ron DeSantis (R) 47 Charlie Crist (D) 43
Fabrizio / Anzalone
Florida Senate:
Marco Rubio (R) 49 Val Demings (D) 47
Florida Governor:
Ron DeSantis (R) 50 Charlie Crist (D) 47
University of Houston
Texas Governor:
Greg Abbott (R) 49 Beto O'Rourke (D) 42
PPP
Washington Senate:
Patty Murray (D) 48 Tiffany Smiley (R) 39
Economist / YouGov
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 44 Republicans 38
Re: 2022 Midterm Polling Thread
September 8
FOX 5 Atlanta, GA / Insider Advantage
Georgia Senate:
Herschel Walker (R) 47 Raphael Warnock (D) 44
Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 50 Stacey Abrams (D) 42
FOX 35 Orlando, FL / Insider Advantage
Florida Senate:
Marco Rubio (R) 46 Val Demings (D) 44
Florida Governor:
Ron DeSantis (R) 50 Charlie Crist (D) 45
WHDH-TV Boston, MA / Emerson
Massachusetts Governor:
Maura Healey (D) 52 Geoff Diehl (R) 34
NPR/PBS/Marist
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 48 Republicans 44
September 9
Emerson
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 47 Blake Masters (R) 45
Arizona Governor:
Katie Hobbs (D) 46 Kari Lake (R) 46
Arizona 2024 General Election:
Trump 44 Biden 41
FOX 10 / Insider Advantage
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 45 Blake Masters (R) 39
Arizona Governor:
Katie Hobbs (D) 44 Kari Lake (R) 43
The Hill / Emerson
New York Governor:
Kathy Hochul (D) 50 Lee Zeldin (R) 35
Trafalgar Group
Vermont Senate:
Peter Welch (D) 50 Gerald Malloy (R) 43
Vermont Governor:
Phil Scott (R) 68 Brenda Siegel (D) 15
Rasmussen Reports
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 46 Democrats 42
September 12
Cincinnati Enquirer / Suffolk
Ohio Senate:
Tim Ryan (D) 47 J.D. Vance (R) 46
Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine (R) 54 Nan Whaley (D) 39
Trafalgar Group
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 48 Democrats 42
FOX 5 Atlanta, GA / Insider Advantage
Georgia Senate:
Herschel Walker (R) 47 Raphael Warnock (D) 44
Georgia Governor:
Brian Kemp (R) 50 Stacey Abrams (D) 42
FOX 35 Orlando, FL / Insider Advantage
Florida Senate:
Marco Rubio (R) 46 Val Demings (D) 44
Florida Governor:
Ron DeSantis (R) 50 Charlie Crist (D) 45
WHDH-TV Boston, MA / Emerson
Massachusetts Governor:
Maura Healey (D) 52 Geoff Diehl (R) 34
NPR/PBS/Marist
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 48 Republicans 44
September 9
Emerson
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 47 Blake Masters (R) 45
Arizona Governor:
Katie Hobbs (D) 46 Kari Lake (R) 46
Arizona 2024 General Election:
Trump 44 Biden 41
FOX 10 / Insider Advantage
Arizona Senate:
Mark Kelly (D) 45 Blake Masters (R) 39
Arizona Governor:
Katie Hobbs (D) 44 Kari Lake (R) 43
The Hill / Emerson
New York Governor:
Kathy Hochul (D) 50 Lee Zeldin (R) 35
Trafalgar Group
Vermont Senate:
Peter Welch (D) 50 Gerald Malloy (R) 43
Vermont Governor:
Phil Scott (R) 68 Brenda Siegel (D) 15
Rasmussen Reports
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 46 Democrats 42
September 12
Cincinnati Enquirer / Suffolk
Ohio Senate:
Tim Ryan (D) 47 J.D. Vance (R) 46
Ohio Governor:
Mike DeWine (R) 54 Nan Whaley (D) 39
Trafalgar Group
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 48 Democrats 42