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2020 Presidential Polls
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
It looks like Trump got a bit of a bump this week as expected. fortunately we have months and months for him to fuck up again and sink himself.
“Blessed are those who are righteous in his name.”
― Matt
Posting Content © 2024 TC Talks Holdings LP.
― Matt
Posting Content © 2024 TC Talks Holdings LP.
- audiophile
- Posts: 8606
- Joined: Sat Dec 04, 2004 9:21 pm
- Location: Between 88 and 108 MHz.
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
Biden is running a heavy Ad schedule. So is Gary Peters and John James.
My county is covered in Trump signs. There is about 4 small Biden lawn signs. There is lots of John James signs too.
My county is covered in Trump signs. There is about 4 small Biden lawn signs. There is lots of John James signs too.
Last edited by audiophile on Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:40 am, edited 1 time in total.
Ask not what your country can do FOR you; ask what they are about to do TO YOU!!
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
Not reliable you say: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/artic ... 43512.html
Voting for Trump is dumber than playing Russian Roulette with fully loaded chambers.
**This space lives rent-free in BMW's head**
**This space lives rent-free in BMW's head**
- audiophile
- Posts: 8606
- Joined: Sat Dec 04, 2004 9:21 pm
- Location: Between 88 and 108 MHz.
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
Maybe RT is Russian? LOL
Ask not what your country can do FOR you; ask what they are about to do TO YOU!!
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
They bombed in 2018. The only reason they were right in 16 was because of depressed turnout on the Democratic Side. Otherwise their model is heavily weighted towards the Republicans...Matt wrote: ↑Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:39 amNot reliable you say: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/artic ... 43512.html
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
They were right for the last relevant election. Presidential elections are a different animal than mid-terms. A lot of pollsters are oversampling democrats this year.Rate This wrote: ↑Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:13 amThey bombed in 2018. The only reason they were right in 16 was because of depressed turnout on the Democratic Side. Otherwise their model is heavily weighted towards the Republicans...Matt wrote: ↑Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:39 amNot reliable you say: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/artic ... 43512.html
Voting for Trump is dumber than playing Russian Roulette with fully loaded chambers.
**This space lives rent-free in BMW's head**
**This space lives rent-free in BMW's head**
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
Good pollsters continue getting it right, until we see several polls match the Trafalger one the smart money says take it with a grain of salt.Matt wrote: ↑Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:21 amThey were right for the last relevant election. Presidential elections are a different animal than mid-terms. A lot of pollsters are oversampling democrats this year.Rate This wrote: ↑Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:13 amThey bombed in 2018. The only reason they were right in 16 was because of depressed turnout on the Democratic Side. Otherwise their model is heavily weighted towards the Republicans...Matt wrote: ↑Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:39 amNot reliable you say: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/artic ... 43512.html
- audiophile
- Posts: 8606
- Joined: Sat Dec 04, 2004 9:21 pm
- Location: Between 88 and 108 MHz.
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
Take ALL POLLS with a grain of salt.
Ask not what your country can do FOR you; ask what they are about to do TO YOU!!
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
Or a margin of error of 3 or 4 depending on the poll.
- audiophile
- Posts: 8606
- Joined: Sat Dec 04, 2004 9:21 pm
- Location: Between 88 and 108 MHz.
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
LOL
Ask not what your country can do FOR you; ask what they are about to do TO YOU!!
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
That’s how he won Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania by a hair.
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
August 30
The Hill / HarrisX
General Election:
Biden 47 Trump 38 RV
The Hill / HarrisX
General Election:
Biden 47 Trump 38 RV
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
No Democracy Institute poll that shows Trump up nationally by 2 and 7 in swing states?
Voting for Trump is dumber than playing Russian Roulette with fully loaded chambers.
**This space lives rent-free in BMW's head**
**This space lives rent-free in BMW's head**
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
I go with what RCP puts on their list. So the short answer is a flat NO.
The long answer...
So far today there’s an Emerson National poll and one of Missouri by Trafalger. Democracy Now puts out partisan polls and in this case it’s so opposite of what everybody else is showing that a result like this should be taken with a salt mine until told otherwise. RCP won’t touch it with a 10 foot pole and neither will I as a result. The poll is so non-credible that 538 won’t even touch it. I begrudgingly include Rasmussen and Trafalger because they do despite their large Oversampling of Republicans.
I’ll post today’s polls later. Always check the dates at the top... they match the RCP dates.
Re: 2020 Presidential Polls
Bidet, he was only in government for 44 years. Hopefully he won't be in it again.
Voting for Trump is dumber than playing Russian Roulette with fully loaded chambers.
**This space lives rent-free in BMW's head**
**This space lives rent-free in BMW's head**