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Hurricane Dorian

A place to talk about any topic on your mind (non-broadcasting related). General conversation.
bmw
Posts: 7749
Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:02 am

Re: Hurricane Dorian

Unread post by bmw »

MWmetalhead wrote: Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:29 pm These dopey forecasters almost never take into account the forecast models' inherent bias!!! Rather incredible, ain't it?

And you're absolutely right - the models need to be reprogrammed.
...and then making it even worse, and I've seen this time and again, rather than admit they got it wrong and adjusting the track, they stubbornly stick with the older projections. This just came out 9 minutes ago. I'm no meteorologist and even I can draw a more accurate cone than this. I overlayed mine in yellow/black over the joke of a map they just issued.

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bmw
Posts: 7749
Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:02 am

Re: Hurricane Dorian

Unread post by bmw »

Gotta tip my hat to you MW - this morning's GFS model run shows a COMPLETE Florida miss - not even the edge of the storm is being shown to hit the state, let alone the eyewall.

I'm still amused at how slow the NHC is to react to this continued eastward movement in track. The new advisory looks EXACTLY like the one I drew above, except now it should be shifted even FURTHER east.
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Bryce
Posts: 7178
Joined: Thu Jan 03, 2008 12:04 pm

Re: Hurricane Dorian

Unread post by Bryce »

bmw wrote: Sat Aug 31, 2019 8:39 am Gotta tip my hat to you MW - this morning's GFS model run shows a COMPLETE Florida miss - not even the edge of the storm is being shown to hit the state, let alone the eyewall.

I'm still amused at how slow the NHC is to react to this continued eastward movement in track. The new advisory looks EXACTLY like the one I drew above, except now it should be shifted even FURTHER east.
Hit the nail on the head he did!

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New York and Chicago were all in with respect to their sanctuary status — until they were hit with the challenge of actually providing sanctuary. In other words, typical liberal hypocrisy.
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