...and then making it even worse, and I've seen this time and again, rather than admit they got it wrong and adjusting the track, they stubbornly stick with the older projections. This just came out 9 minutes ago. I'm no meteorologist and even I can draw a more accurate cone than this. I overlayed mine in yellow/black over the joke of a map they just issued.MWmetalhead wrote: ↑Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:29 pmThese dopey forecasters almost never take into account the forecast models' inherent bias!!! Rather incredible, ain't it?
And you're absolutely right - the models need to be reprogrammed.
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Hurricane Dorian
Re: Hurricane Dorian
Re: Hurricane Dorian
Gotta tip my hat to you MW - this morning's GFS model run shows a COMPLETE Florida miss - not even the edge of the storm is being shown to hit the state, let alone the eyewall.
I'm still amused at how slow the NHC is to react to this continued eastward movement in track. The new advisory looks EXACTLY like the one I drew above, except now it should be shifted even FURTHER east.
I'm still amused at how slow the NHC is to react to this continued eastward movement in track. The new advisory looks EXACTLY like the one I drew above, except now it should be shifted even FURTHER east.
Re: Hurricane Dorian
Hit the nail on the head he did!bmw wrote: ↑Sat Aug 31, 2019 8:39 amGotta tip my hat to you MW - this morning's GFS model run shows a COMPLETE Florida miss - not even the edge of the storm is being shown to hit the state, let alone the eyewall.
I'm still amused at how slow the NHC is to react to this continued eastward movement in track. The new advisory looks EXACTLY like the one I drew above, except now it should be shifted even FURTHER east.
New York and Chicago were all in with respect to their sanctuary status — until they were hit with the challenge of actually providing sanctuary. In other words, typical liberal hypocrisy.
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Re: Hurricane Dorian
I remain confident in my forecast. Perhaps the storm will get within 100 miles of the Florida coast, but I think none of Florida will see hurricane force gusts. I also think rainfall totals will be nothing extraordinary in Florida.
The stall and wobble are happening now. What little movement has occurred over the past couple hours is to the NNW.
The stall and wobble are happening now. What little movement has occurred over the past couple hours is to the NNW.
Morgan Wallen is a piece of garbage.