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Thu. night - Saturday storm system

Discussion pertaining to Detroit, Ann Arbor, Port Huron and SW Ontario
Marcus
Posts: 400
Joined: Fri Jan 21, 2005 1:08 pm
Location: Sarnia, Ontario

Re: Thu. night - Saturday storm system

Unread post by Marcus »

Three things that we will all get is a flash freeze, dangerous windchills, and damaging wind gusts. Both sides of the border have a Winter Storm Warning.

https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-94_metric_e.html

https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-147_metric_e.html

https://www.getprepared.gc.ca/cnt/kts/index-en.aspx

https://www.wunderground.com/
bmw
Posts: 7749
Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:02 am

Re: Thu. night - Saturday storm system

Unread post by bmw »

The forecasts for this storm have varied so much depending on the day and the source. A few days ago, both The Weather Channel and the GFS were saying mostly rain up here where I'm at on the Lake Huron shoreline. Most models though have pushed that rain line further east out over the lake other than maybe some brief rain/mixing at the very start of the event.

I think the GFS model has a pretty good handle on snowfall totals.

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bmw
Posts: 7749
Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:02 am

Re: Thu. night - Saturday storm system

Unread post by bmw »

Subtract 4 hours from each of the time stamps on the image for EDT.

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bmw
Posts: 7749
Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:02 am

Re: Thu. night - Saturday storm system

Unread post by bmw »

If I'm reading that map right, I think Grand Rapids is just inside the 7-9 inch band.

The reason the models are suggesting lower totals right in the middle of the state (Ionia, St. John's, Mt. Pleasant, and surrounding areas) is because the main snow band is setting up as the low moves from SW to NE along basically I-75 and east. West of that line will get less snow from the main band but the snow belts will get lingering lake effect. That leaves the blob just west of I-75 but east of the main snow belts in the southern half of the state getting less snow from the main band and missing out on much of the lake effect. I think there will be a small area right in the middle of the state that stays in the 4-6 inch range.
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TC Talks
Posts: 12065
Joined: Wed Oct 26, 2005 2:41 am

Re: Thu. night - Saturday storm system

Unread post by TC Talks »

Looking at 12-24 in Traverse City with gusts to 55mph. Blizzard Warning... Fun times...
For Kristian Trumpers are not serving our Lord Christ, but their own appetites. By smooth talk and flattery they deceive the minds of naive people.
-Romans 16:18

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craig11152
Posts: 2201
Joined: Tue Nov 06, 2007 8:15 am
Location: Ann Arbor

Re: Thu. night - Saturday storm system

Unread post by craig11152 »

The NOAA and the Weather Underground are both looking at 2-4 inches in Ann Arbor. That is what I am believing. They both just plain predict the weather. The media outlets seem to "pump" the weather whenever possible.
I no longer directly engage Rate This :lol
bmw
Posts: 7749
Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:02 am

Re: Thu. night - Saturday storm system

Unread post by bmw »

Storm continues to speed up and the computer models continue to expand the area that may only get 3 or 4 inches. Pretty much the entire southern half of the lower peninsula, excluding parts of the thumb and the southwest part of the state.

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