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Week of 8/23

A place for amateur weather predictors and degreed meteorologists alike to discuss weather forecasts, weather patterns, NOAA and NWS protocol, weather forecasting & modeling software & apps, mobile weather alert apps, and climatology.
MWmetalhead
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Week of 8/23

Unread post by MWmetalhead »

The week ahead looks to be mostly dry. Some areas (such as my neighborhood) are still running a significant rainfall deficit. No such issue exists in Ann Arbor or especially Lansing, which has seen a ton of rain over the past couple weeks.

In the lower peninsula, the next chance of any widespread rainfall appears to be Wednesday night or Thursday, and totals do not look very impressive.

It also appears high temps will be within a few degrees of average most days.

My forecasted high temps for Detroit and for Grand Rapids:

8/23: 76, 73
8/24: 78, 77
8/25: 79, 79
8/26: 82, 82
8/27: 83, 81
8/28: 79, 80
8/29: 82, 82
8/30: 79, 79

GFS model run from 8AM this morning; first number is projected 5PM temp for Detroit and second number is projected 5PM temp for Grand Rapids:

8/23: 74, 73
8/24: 77, 77
8/25: 81, 80
8/26: 82, 84
8/27: 85, 83
8/28: 81, 83
8/29: 81, 81
8/30: 70, 79 (GFS shows a closed low over western PA; I'm skeptical of this solution. It is showing a 5PM temp of only 61 in Pittsburgh.)

Euro-AIFS (Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System) model run from 2AM this morning; first number is projected 2PM temp for Detroit and second number is projected 2PM temp for Grand Rapids (I was unable to obtain 5PM data from this source):

8/23: 74, 72
8/24: 73, 72
8/25: 76, 76
8/26: 79, 77
8/27: 80, 78
8/28: 76, 76
8/29: 79, 79
8/30: 80, 75
Buc-ee's sucks! Stay the hell away from my state.
MWmetalhead
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Joined: Mon Oct 14, 2024 6:59 pm

Re: Week of 8/23

Unread post by MWmetalhead »

Watch all of this afternoon and evening's popcorn heavy shower activity completely miss my neighborhood for the second straight day.

Southfield along and south of 11 Mile just got a soaking downpour. Barely a sprinkle fell at my place.
Buc-ee's sucks! Stay the hell away from my state.
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Re: Week of 8/23

Unread post by Rate This »

MWmetalhead wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2026 4:54 pm Watch all of this afternoon and evening's popcorn heavy shower activity completely miss my neighborhood for the second straight day.

Southfield along and south of 11 Mile just got a soaking downpour. Barely a sprinkle fell at my place.
Looks like some rain headed my way and hopefully yours though I see the gap in the line over that way.
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Re: Week of 8/23

Unread post by Rate This »

Poured pretty good here… NWS said 10% chance of rain too.
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

This is a pro-Democracy account.

Dear America… you were warned.
MegaHertz
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Re: Week of 8/23

Unread post by MegaHertz »

I think this may be the coolest evening we've had in some time.
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MotorCityRadioFreak
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Re: Week of 8/23

Unread post by MotorCityRadioFreak »

MegaHertz wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2026 9:30 pm I think this may be the coolest evening we've had in some time.
I love it. I have been waiting for this. The best time of the year is pretty much here. Hell yeah!

We got a heavy downpour here at 6:30 PM.
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MWmetalhead
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Re: Week of 8/23

Unread post by MWmetalhead »

Yesterday in the early evening, it rained at my house for a whole three minutes. Only a few hundredths in the rain gauge.
Buc-ee's sucks! Stay the hell away from my state.
Matt
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Re: Week of 8/23

Unread post by Matt »

MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2026 9:37 pm
MegaHertz wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2026 9:30 pm I think this may be the coolest evening we've had in some time.
I love it. I have been waiting for this. The best time of the year is pretty much here. Hell yeah!

We got a heavy downpour here at 6:30 PM.
It needs to warm the fuck back up.
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MegaHertz
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Re: Week of 8/23

Unread post by MegaHertz »

Matt wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2026 8:36 pm
MotorCityRadioFreak wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2026 9:37 pm
MegaHertz wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2026 9:30 pm I think this may be the coolest evening we've had in some time.
I love it. I have been waiting for this. The best time of the year is pretty much here. Hell yeah!

We got a heavy downpour here at 6:30 PM.
It needs to warm the fuck back up.
I'm cold, Matt. Come hold me and warm me up.
"Internet is no more like radio than intravenous feeding is like fine dining."
-TurkeyTop

bmw said "Trump says the opposite, I will be inclined to believe Trump". Doesn't matter what the subject is.
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Re: Week of 8/23

Unread post by Rate This »

MWmetalhead wrote: Mon Aug 24, 2026 7:58 pm Yesterday in the early evening, it rained at my house for a whole three minutes. Only a few hundredths in the rain gauge.
Quarter inch in mine. Surprised me a bit.
Donald Trump… In your guts you know he’s nuts.

The Resistance begins now.

This is a pro-Democracy account.

Dear America… you were warned.
MWmetalhead
Posts: 5478
Joined: Mon Oct 14, 2024 6:59 pm

Re: Week of 8/23

Unread post by MWmetalhead »

Today's average high for DTW is 80.

We either reached it on the nose or were one degree either side of 80 today.
Buc-ee's sucks! Stay the hell away from my state.
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