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Major snowstorm brewing

Discussion pertaining to Detroit, Ann Arbor, Port Huron, and SW Ontario
bmw
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Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by bmw » Thu Feb 10, 2022 10:12 am

bmw wrote:
Fri Feb 04, 2022 4:36 am
The GFS shows...about 2 weeks out they're showing a literally identical storm as to what just went through.
This one is still in the forecast. Except the most recent runs have pushed it further north, putting us mostly in the rain category. Looking at potentially 2-3 inches of rain. Not sure where all that water is going to go. Of course if this were snow instead, we'd be looking at significant snowfall.

Image
TC Talks wrote:
Tue Feb 01, 2022 12:44 pm
Sunny all week here in Traverse City.
You might be getting a foot this time around.

Image



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TC Talks
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Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by TC Talks » Thu Feb 10, 2022 11:39 am

bmw wrote:
Thu Feb 10, 2022 10:12 am
TC Talks wrote:
Tue Feb 01, 2022 12:44 pm
Sunny all week here in Traverse City.
You might be getting a foot this time around.
Image
Bring it on! That rain/sleet we got yesterday really screwed up the XC Trails and Downhill Skiing...
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Mega Hertz
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Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by Mega Hertz » Thu Feb 10, 2022 6:07 pm

If we get 3 inches of rain and ZERO snow from any of this storm, I will come cook a nice steak dinner for all of you. I'm so over this shit I could puke.
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Mega Hertz
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Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by Mega Hertz » Thu Feb 10, 2022 6:32 pm

3 inches of rain and 40 degrees. Mmmmmmmmmm. I can see my driveway again! I have to make a trip to Shelby Twp for work tomorrow so I hope AM drive isn't too bad.
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TC Talks
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Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by TC Talks » Mon Feb 14, 2022 12:33 pm

When is this amazing storm coming?
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bmw
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Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by bmw » Mon Feb 14, 2022 6:56 pm

Wed/Thur.

They've moved the snow bands a bit further south.

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Mega Hertz
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Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by Mega Hertz » Mon Feb 14, 2022 6:58 pm

I'm seeing rain and 51 on Wednesday. How much of this white garbage is expected to inconvenience everyone this time?
"Internet is no more like radio than intravenous feeding is like fine dining."
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Rate This
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Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by Rate This » Mon Feb 14, 2022 11:07 pm

Mega Hertz wrote:
Mon Feb 14, 2022 6:58 pm
I'm seeing rain and 51 on Wednesday. How much of this white garbage is expected to inconvenience everyone this time?
7-12 inches depending on location in the southern half of the lower peninsula.

Thunderstorm
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Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by Thunderstorm » Tue Feb 15, 2022 3:00 am

Latest models from earlier tonight. Hope the links work.

Snowfall Totals: 00Z Run: Kuchera Ratio
Euro:
[url]https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/?parms ... -0-100/url]

GFS:
[url]https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/?parms ... -0-100/url]

NAM:
[url]https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/?parms ... -0-100/url]

RDPS:
[url]https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/?parms ... -0-100/url]

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MWmetalhead
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Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by MWmetalhead » Tue Feb 15, 2022 6:21 am

I think most of the models are too aggressive on totals, as usual. This is a complex system; most of SE Michigan's snow would come from a projected second disturbance (which would ride along the frontal boundary draped across Ohio mid to late Thursday into Thursday night).

Right now, I'm predicting a general 2 to 6 inch accumulation. It is too early to project where the heaviest banding will occur. Similar to the system of a couple weeks ago, it is possible one or two convective flare-ups could occur, leading to locally heavier totals than surrounding areas.

Do not be surprised if some area hear a clap or two of thunder Wednesday night.

Next seven days feature roller coaster temperatures. That fact, plus heavy precip later this week, will create a big mess for public works crews. There will be potholes and water main breaks galore.
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Bobbert
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Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by Bobbert » Tue Feb 15, 2022 9:23 am

MWmetalhead wrote:
Tue Feb 15, 2022 6:21 am
Next seven days feature roller coaster temperatures. That fact, plus heavy precip later this week, will create a big mess for public works crews. There will be potholes and water main breaks galore.
That's why I've never minded long stretches of sub-freezing temperatures. It's annoying when weathercasters act like the temperature going above freezing for a day or two is a great thing. Last Friday's thaw led to a lot of new potholes in my area.

Mr.Transistor
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Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by Mr.Transistor » Tue Feb 15, 2022 4:36 pm

Another HYPED up snowstorm, can't wait. I wonder how many school superintendents already are planning on Friday off in the queue due to this news?? The snow on Super Bowl Sunday was quite a surprise and quite a bit in my neck of the woods. No hype behind that one. Well I better hit the grocery store looks like I'll be stuck in the house for days. Thank you news media!

Mega Hertz
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Location: Brighton

Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by Mega Hertz » Tue Feb 15, 2022 5:08 pm

MWmetalhead wrote:
Tue Feb 15, 2022 6:21 am
I think most of the models are too aggressive on totals, as usual. This is a complex system; most of SE Michigan's snow would come from a projected second disturbance (which would ride along the frontal boundary draped across Ohio mid to late Thursday into Thursday night).

Right now, I'm predicting a general 2 to 6 inch accumulation. It is too early to project where the heaviest banding will occur. Similar to the system of a couple weeks ago, it is possible one or two convective flare-ups could occur, leading to locally heavier totals than surrounding areas.

Do not be surprised if some area hear a clap or two of thunder Wednesday night.

Next seven days feature roller coaster temperatures. That fact, plus heavy precip later this week, will create a big mess for public works crews. There will be potholes and water main breaks galore.
In my travels for work, I've noticed Beck Road south of 7 mile is getting bad, Washtenaw Ave around Carpenter and Mound Road aren't looking so great, either. Mound is torn up every year, anyway.
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Bryce
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Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by Bryce » Tue Feb 15, 2022 7:01 pm

Mega Hertz wrote:
Tue Feb 15, 2022 5:08 pm
Mound is torn up every year, anyway.
Makes sense. The amount of heavy truck traffic Mound road gets is off the charts.
New York and Chicago were all in with respect to their sanctuary status — until they were hit with the challenge of actually providing sanctuary. In other words, typical liberal hypocrisy.

Mega Hertz
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Re: Major snowstorm brewing

Post by Mega Hertz » Tue Feb 15, 2022 8:39 pm

Bryce wrote:
Tue Feb 15, 2022 7:01 pm
Mega Hertz wrote:
Tue Feb 15, 2022 5:08 pm
Mound is torn up every year, anyway.
Makes sense. The amount of heavy truck traffic Mound road gets is off the charts.
I can remember when they expanded Mound to 3 lanes and it seemed like the freeway. Now 4 lanes isn't enough.
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