2020 Presidential Polls

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March 1

East Carolina University
North Carolina:
Trump 48 Sanders 43
Biden 48 Trump 46
Trump 46 Bloomberg 45
Trump 49 Warren 41

NBC News / Marist
North Carolina:
Sanders 48 Trump 46
Biden 49 Trump 45

Texas:
Trump 49 Sanders 45
Trump 49 Biden 45

Dallas Morning News
Texas:
Trump 45 Sanders 44
Trump 45 Biden 44
Trump 45 Bloomberg 44
Trump 45 Buttigieg 41
Trump 47 Warren 37
Trump 45 Klobuchar 38

[Turkeytop]

Trump in 2020. America adores Trump.

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February 4

University of Georgia
Georgia:
Trump 51 Biden 43
Trump 52 Sanders 41

February 5

PPP (D)
Arizona:
Biden 48 Trump 47
Trump 47 Sanders 46

Maine:
Biden 52 Trump 42
Sanders 52 Trump 42

Mason-Dixon
Mississippi:
Trump 56 Biden 41
Trump 59 Sanders 36

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March 9

CNN
General Election:
Biden 53 Trump 43
Sanders 52 Trump 45

Quinnipiac
General Election:
Biden 52 Trump 41
Sanders 49 Trump 42

Yahoo News / YouGov
Michigan:
Biden 45 Trump 41
Sanders 43 Trump 42

Wisconsin:
Biden 44 Trump 42
Sanders 46 Trump 40

Pennsylvania:
Biden 46 Trump 40
Sanders 43 Trump 41

Monmouth
Michigan:
Biden 48 Trump 41
Sanders 46 Trump 41

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Gonna tweak my formatting a bit to make it easier to read.

March 10

Florida Atlantic University
Florida:
Trump 51 Biden 49
Trump 53 Sanders 47

Economist / YouGov
General Election:
Biden 47 Trump 43
Sanders 47 Trump 43

[screen glare]

Polls only as good as those polled telling the truth.

Remember - a lot of voters said they were not, or did not, vote for Trump, when secretly they did.

Many voters are only interested in money. All Trump’s indecent, dangerous, deranged drawbacks were/are indefensible. Telling a lie about your vote for him meant/will mean - no defense required.

Also consequential how poll questions worded. Duh!

But keep trusting polls. Especially when MOST all agree on election eve HRC is going to win. Easily manipulated, truth easily evaded. No to polls.

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Polls only as good as those polled telling the truth.

Remember - a lot of voters said they were not, or did not, vote for Trump, when secretly they did.

Many voters are only interested in money. All Trump’s indecent, dangerous, deranged drawbacks were/are indefensible. Telling a lie about your vote for him meant/will mean - no defense required.

Also consequential how poll questions worded. Duh!

But keep trusting polls. Especially when MOST all agree on election eve HRC is going to win. Easily manipulated, truth easily evaded. No to polls.

Even you don’t have a clue what happened there at the end... oy ve...

[screen glare]

Oy-vomit! Left out Russian interference.

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Oy-vomit! Left out Russian interference.

No you idiot... the polls were moving in Trumps favor a couple days before the election, the Comey reopening the Clinton investigation announcement was what started swinging the polls. They barely caught the beginnings of it with the final few polls.

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March 12

PPP (D)
Wisconsin:
Biden 48 Trump 45
Sanders 48 Trump 46

Kansas:
Trump 52 Biden 40
Trump 52 Sanders 40

Des Moines Register
Iowa:
Trump 51 Biden 41
Trump 53 Sanders 41

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March 13

Univision / Arizona State University

Arizona:
Biden 50 Trump 42
Sanders 48 Trump 43

OH Predictive Insights

Arizona:
Biden 49 Trump 43
Trump 45 Sanders 38

One poll showing Biden over Trump in Arizona by 6-8 would be fluky... 2 in the same day? Maybe this is the first indication of what the virus has done to his numbers?

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March 15

NBC News / Wall Street Journal
General Election:
Biden 52 Trump 43
Sanders 49 Trump 45

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March 16

Univision

Florida:
Trump 48 Biden 45
Trump 49 Sanders 42

NBC News / Marist

Ohio:
Biden 49 Trump 45
Sanders 48 Trump 46

Arizona:
Biden 47 Trump 46
Trump 48 Sanders 45

Monmouth

Arizona:
Biden 46 Trump 43
Trump 44 Sanders 43

Biden clearly has a small lead in Arizona.. that's 4 or 5 polls in a row now...

[bmw]

Those of you who disapprove of Trump's approval of the Coronavirus - you're now in the minority.

Per an ABC News/IPSOS poll:

55 Approve of how he's handling it
43 Disapprove of how he's handling it

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/2 ... ent-138570

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Those of you who disapprove of Trump's approval of the Coronavirus - you're now in the minority.

Per an ABC News/IPSOS poll:

55 Approve of how he's handling it
43 Disapprove of how he's handling it

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/2 ... ent-138570

Unfortunately we can’t try to correlate that to head to head matchups... there’s been nothing to say.. I have one for later tonight that I will post but other than that...