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2020 Presidential Polls

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TC Talks
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by TC Talks » Fri Aug 28, 2020 10:27 pm

It looks like Trump got a bit of a bump this week as expected. fortunately we have months and months for him to fuck up again and sink himself.


“The more you can increase fear of drugs, crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.”
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audiophile
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by audiophile » Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:35 am

Biden is running a heavy Ad schedule. So is Gary Peters and John James.

My county is covered in Trump signs. There is about 4 small Biden lawn signs. There is lots of John James signs too.
Last edited by audiophile on Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:40 am, edited 1 time in total.


Ask not what your country can do FOR you; ask what they are about to do TO YOU!!

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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Matt » Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:39 am

Rate This wrote:
Fri Aug 28, 2020 9:22 pm
UP906 wrote:
Fri Aug 28, 2020 8:54 pm
Remember when the left was all about voting against the status quo?

LOL, now look at them!

They are in an absolute free fall.
I wouldn’t go that far... Trafalger isn’t exactly a reliable pollster.
Not reliable you say: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/artic ... 43512.html


What's more pathetic: harassing an old man who is paying to do a radio show or supporting a grifter like Trump?

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audiophile
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by audiophile » Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:04 am

Maybe RT is Russian? LOL


Ask not what your country can do FOR you; ask what they are about to do TO YOU!!

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Rate This
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Rate This » Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:13 am

Matt wrote:
Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:39 am
Rate This wrote:
Fri Aug 28, 2020 9:22 pm
UP906 wrote:
Fri Aug 28, 2020 8:54 pm
Remember when the left was all about voting against the status quo?

LOL, now look at them!

They are in an absolute free fall.
I wouldn’t go that far... Trafalger isn’t exactly a reliable pollster.
Not reliable you say: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/artic ... 43512.html
They bombed in 2018. The only reason they were right in 16 was because of depressed turnout on the Democratic Side. Otherwise their model is heavily weighted towards the Republicans...



Matt
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Matt » Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:21 am

Rate This wrote:
Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:13 am
Matt wrote:
Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:39 am
Rate This wrote:
Fri Aug 28, 2020 9:22 pm
UP906 wrote:
Fri Aug 28, 2020 8:54 pm
Remember when the left was all about voting against the status quo?

LOL, now look at them!

They are in an absolute free fall.
I wouldn’t go that far... Trafalger isn’t exactly a reliable pollster.
Not reliable you say: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/artic ... 43512.html
They bombed in 2018. The only reason they were right in 16 was because of depressed turnout on the Democratic Side. Otherwise their model is heavily weighted towards the Republicans...
They were right for the last relevant election. Presidential elections are a different animal than mid-terms. A lot of pollsters are oversampling democrats this year.


What's more pathetic: harassing an old man who is paying to do a radio show or supporting a grifter like Trump?

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Rate This
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Rate This » Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:22 am

Matt wrote:
Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:21 am
Rate This wrote:
Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:13 am
Matt wrote:
Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:39 am
Rate This wrote:
Fri Aug 28, 2020 9:22 pm
UP906 wrote:
Fri Aug 28, 2020 8:54 pm
Remember when the left was all about voting against the status quo?

LOL, now look at them!

They are in an absolute free fall.
I wouldn’t go that far... Trafalger isn’t exactly a reliable pollster.
Not reliable you say: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/artic ... 43512.html
They bombed in 2018. The only reason they were right in 16 was because of depressed turnout on the Democratic Side. Otherwise their model is heavily weighted towards the Republicans...
They were right for the last relevant election. Presidential elections are a different animal than mid-terms. A lot of pollsters are oversampling democrats this year.
Good pollsters continue getting it right, until we see several polls match the Trafalger one the smart money says take it with a grain of salt.



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audiophile
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by audiophile » Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:26 am

Take ALL POLLS with a grain of salt.


Ask not what your country can do FOR you; ask what they are about to do TO YOU!!

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Rate This
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Rate This » Sat Aug 29, 2020 10:19 am

audiophile wrote:
Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:26 am
Take ALL POLLS with a grain of salt.
Or a margin of error of 3 or 4 depending on the poll.



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audiophile
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by audiophile » Sat Aug 29, 2020 9:18 pm

LOL


Ask not what your country can do FOR you; ask what they are about to do TO YOU!!

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Rate This
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Rate This » Sun Aug 30, 2020 9:47 am

R Bedell wrote:
Sun Aug 30, 2020 6:56 am
RT:
depressed turnout on the Democratic Side.
You Lefty's "claim" that the Corrupt POS Clinton, won the popular vote by 3-4 Million people and YOU say the Democrats had a "depressed turnout". Good God, what is wrong with that picture....???? :lol :lol :lol
That’s how he won Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania by a hair.



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Rate This
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Rate This » Mon Aug 31, 2020 5:59 pm

August 30

The Hill / HarrisX
General Election:
Biden 47 Trump 38 RV



Matt
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Matt » Mon Aug 31, 2020 6:59 pm

No Democracy Institute poll that shows Trump up nationally by 2 and 7 in swing states?


What's more pathetic: harassing an old man who is paying to do a radio show or supporting a grifter like Trump?

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Rate This
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Rate This » Mon Aug 31, 2020 8:03 pm

Matt wrote:
Mon Aug 31, 2020 6:59 pm
No Democracy Institute poll that shows Trump up nationally by 2 and 7 in swing states?
I go with what RCP puts on their list. So the short answer is a flat NO.

The long answer...
So far today there’s an Emerson National poll and one of Missouri by Trafalger. Democracy Now puts out partisan polls and in this case it’s so opposite of what everybody else is showing that a result like this should be taken with a salt mine until told otherwise. RCP won’t touch it with a 10 foot pole and neither will I as a result. The poll is so non-credible that 538 won’t even touch it. I begrudgingly include Rasmussen and Trafalger because they do despite their large Oversampling of Republicans.

I’ll post today’s polls later. Always check the dates at the top... they match the RCP dates.



Matt
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Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Matt » Mon Aug 31, 2020 8:55 pm

R Bedell wrote:
Mon Aug 31, 2020 8:01 pm
Image
Bidet, he was only in government for 44 years. Hopefully he won't be in it again.


What's more pathetic: harassing an old man who is paying to do a radio show or supporting a grifter like Trump?

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