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2020 Presidential Polls

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Mr.Transistor
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Joined: Tue Nov 20, 2018 10:43 am

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Mr.Transistor » Wed Jul 01, 2020 4:26 pm

Walls are closing in, Does he throw in the towel or take the ass beating?

https://news.trust.org/item/20200701081455-fu26q



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Lester The Nightfly
Posts: 833
Joined: Thu Aug 11, 2005 6:19 pm

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Lester The Nightfly » Wed Jul 01, 2020 4:40 pm

Rate This wrote:
Tue Jun 30, 2020 5:40 pm
June 30

East Carolina University:
North Carolina:
Biden 45 Trump 44
Worth noting: If the ECU poll was local or regional in nature, understand that's a very conservative area of North Carolina. Much to my consternation my niece will be wrapping up her Sophomore year and starting her Junior year there this fall. Kids. :roll:



Rate This
Posts: 3946
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Rate This » Wed Jul 01, 2020 10:06 pm

Mr.Transistor wrote:
Wed Jul 01, 2020 4:26 pm
Walls are closing in, Does he throw in the towel or take the ass beating?

https://news.trust.org/item/20200701081455-fu26q
He takes the ass beating:

July 1

Economist/YouGov
General Election:
Biden 49 Trump 40

IBD/TIPP
Biden 48 Trump 40

Harvard-Harris
General Election:
Biden 56 Trump 44

Reuters/Ipsos
General Election:
Biden 46 Trump 38

PPP
Michigan:
Biden 50 Trump 44

Colorado:
Biden 56 Trump 39

CNBC/Change Research
General Election:
Biden 49 Trump 41

Pennsylvania:
Biden 50 Trump 44

Michigan:
Biden 48 Trump 43

Wisconsin:
Biden 51 Trump 43

North Carolina:
Biden 51 Trump 44

Florida:
Biden 50 Trump 45

Arizona:
Biden 51 Trump 44

** The CNBC survey has been notoriously polling the candidates closer together than other surveys. So the several point increases illustrated here are significant **



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TC Talks
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Joined: Wed Oct 26, 2005 2:41 am

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by TC Talks » Thu Jul 02, 2020 12:01 am

I'm anxious to see how the Russia hoax will impact the polls with his base of conservative voters.


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Lester The Nightfly
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Joined: Thu Aug 11, 2005 6:19 pm

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Lester The Nightfly » Thu Jul 02, 2020 1:17 am

TC Talks wrote:
Thu Jul 02, 2020 12:01 am
I'm anxious to see how the Russia hoax will impact the polls with his base of conservative voters.
It will have zero impact on them.



Rate This
Posts: 3946
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Rate This » Thu Jul 02, 2020 7:38 am

Lester The Nightfly wrote:
Thu Jul 02, 2020 1:17 am
TC Talks wrote:
Thu Jul 02, 2020 12:01 am
I'm anxious to see how the Russia hoax will impact the polls with his base of conservative voters.
It will have zero impact on them.
He could do something clearly and seriously wrong to their mother or some other female relative and they’d excuse it. He could turn out to be a serial axe murderer and they’d probably still stick with him. I no longer have any faith that he could take any course of action that would shake their desire to blindly play follow the leader.



Rate This
Posts: 3946
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Rate This » Thu Jul 02, 2020 8:15 am

July 2

University of Montana
Montana:
Trump 52 Biden 38

OANN/Gravis
Arizona:
Trump 49 Biden 45
** This one for the moment is a massive outlier, since it also had McSally up by 4 in the Senate race I suspect they got a bad sample mix here. Or they just made up numbers.... OANN isn’t exactly a golden source for much of anything...



Mr.Transistor
Posts: 581
Joined: Tue Nov 20, 2018 10:43 am

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Mr.Transistor » Thu Jul 02, 2020 4:26 pm

Rate This wrote:
Wed Jul 01, 2020 10:06 pm
Mr.Transistor wrote:
Wed Jul 01, 2020 4:26 pm
Walls are closing in, Does he throw in the towel or take the ass beating?

https://news.trust.org/item/20200701081455-fu26q
He takes the ass beating:

July 1

Economist/YouGov
General Election:
Biden 49 Trump 40

IBD/TIPP
Biden 48 Trump 40

Harvard-Harris
General Election:
Biden 56 Trump 44

Reuters/Ipsos
General Election:
Biden 46 Trump 38

PPP
Michigan:
Biden 50 Trump 44

Colorado:
Biden 56 Trump 39

CNBC/Change Research
General Election:
Biden 49 Trump 41

Pennsylvania:
Biden 50 Trump 44

Michigan:
Biden 48 Trump 43

Wisconsin:
Biden 51 Trump 43

North Carolina:
Biden 51 Trump 44

Florida:
Biden 50 Trump 45

Arizona:
Biden 51 Trump 44

** The CNBC survey has been notoriously polling the candidates closer together than other surveys. So the several point increases illustrated here are significant **
What do you think of what Carville says here? Or do you just think he's a gasbag that still loves getting interviewed about politics?

https://www.mediaite.com/news/james-car ... rn-on-him/



Rate This
Posts: 3946
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Rate This » Thu Jul 02, 2020 4:49 pm

If it becomes clear there’s not a snowballs chance in hell then I can see it being possible but unlikely. He would avoid being a loser though...



Mr.Transistor
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Joined: Tue Nov 20, 2018 10:43 am

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Mr.Transistor » Thu Jul 02, 2020 4:53 pm

Yep I guess time will tell. He's probably hoping when Biden emerges from the basement more regularly that perhaps he'll make some unforgettable gaffes while he speaks. That's about the only way. Trump has been doing that almost daily with twitter and other things, I think most people have become numb to it or turn a blind eye to it.



Rate This
Posts: 3946
Joined: Wed Jan 08, 2020 12:17 am

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Rate This » Thu Jul 02, 2020 10:44 pm

July 2

Monmouth
General Election:
Biden 53 Trump 41

Hart Research Associates
General Election:
Biden 55 Trump 41

University of Texas / YouGov
Texas:
Trump 48 Biden 44

PPP
Texas:
Biden 48 Trump 46



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TC Talks
Posts: 3316
Joined: Wed Oct 26, 2005 2:41 am

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by TC Talks » Fri Jul 03, 2020 11:25 pm

At least Americans are not in denial about the nation’s turmoil of the last three months. According to a Pew survey, 71 percent of Americans are angry about the state of the country right now and 66 percent are fearful. Only 17 percent are proud.
David Brooks NY Times


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Mike Oxlong
Posts: 415
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Location: Nankin Township

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Mike Oxlong » Fri Jul 03, 2020 11:43 pm

TC Talks wrote:
Fri Jul 03, 2020 11:25 pm
At least Americans are not in denial about the nation’s turmoil of the last three months. According to a Pew survey, 71 percent of Americans are angry about the state of the country right now and 66 percent are fearful. Only 17 percent are proud.
David Brooks NY Times
Very relevant statement. The important question is what are the 66% fearful of?
Is it the economy? Is it the virus? Is it the civil unrest? Which candidate do they feel can calm those fears?



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TC Talks
Posts: 3316
Joined: Wed Oct 26, 2005 2:41 am

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by TC Talks » Fri Jul 03, 2020 11:47 pm

Mike Oxlong wrote:
Fri Jul 03, 2020 11:43 pm
TC Talks wrote:
Fri Jul 03, 2020 11:25 pm
At least Americans are not in denial about the nation’s turmoil of the last three months. According to a Pew survey, 71 percent of Americans are angry about the state of the country right now and 66 percent are fearful. Only 17 percent are proud.
David Brooks NY Times
Very relevant statement. The important question is what are the 66% fearful of?
Is it the economy? Is it the virus? Is it the civil unrest? Which candidate do they feel can calm those fears?
Pew never holds back with it's surveys...
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/20 ... or-issues/

Brooks entire Op Ed piece. Great read...
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/02/opin ... uly-4.html


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Lester The Nightfly
Posts: 833
Joined: Thu Aug 11, 2005 6:19 pm

Re: 2020 Presidential Polls

Post by Lester The Nightfly » Sat Jul 04, 2020 12:05 am

Mr.Transistor wrote:
Thu Jul 02, 2020 4:26 pm
What do you think of what Carville says here? Or do you just think he's a gasbag that still loves getting interviewed about politics?

https://www.mediaite.com/news/james-car ... rn-on-him/
Nope, won't happen unless a pardon is engineered into the deal. Hurt ego is one thing, loss of immunity is quite another.



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