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2016 Presidential Polls

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audiophile
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Joined: Sat Dec 04, 2004 9:21 pm
Location: Between 88 and 108 MHz.

Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by audiophile » Fri Oct 30, 2015 9:31 pm

Steven Harper?


Ask not what your country can do FOR you; ask what they are about to do TO YOU!!

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Turkeytop
Posts: 3560
Joined: Mon Aug 16, 2010 9:27 pm

Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by Turkeytop » Fri Oct 30, 2015 9:33 pm

audiophile wrote:Steven Harper?
His name wasn't on the list. He'd be too extreme for even the Tea Party



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Lester The Nightfly
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Joined: Thu Aug 11, 2005 6:19 pm

Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by Lester The Nightfly » Sat Oct 31, 2015 6:04 pm

MWmetalhead wrote:I agree with earlier posts here. Jeb Bush is toast.
Not to pile on (oh who am I kidding? anytime I can crap on this guy makes for a great day) but the smartest guy in the room, Nate Silver is using the same sliced bread browned on both sides by exposure to radiant heat word tossed about here on the humble Buzzboard.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/jeb- ... an-debate/

YMMV, but Silver is about the last guy I'd wager on being wrong.



Deleted User 8570

Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by Deleted User 8570 » Sun Nov 01, 2015 1:13 am

Couple More:

IBD / TIPP
Overall Republican Nomination:
Trump 28
Carson 23
Rubio 11
Cruz 6
Bush 6

Overall Democratic Nomination:
Clinton 48
Sanders 33
http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorial ... ef=HPLNews



bmw
Posts: 1298
Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:02 am

Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by bmw » Sun Nov 01, 2015 4:56 pm

I think Trump has more staying power than Carson and that Carson has peaked. I predict Carson's numbers will slowly slide and that his supporters will split between Trump, Rubio, and Cruz.

I stand by my prediction that Kasich will be the next major candidate to drop out.

Polling soon to look something like this:

Trump 33
Carson 15
Rubio 15
Cruz 12
------------
Bush, Huckabee, Fiorina, Christie, Paul - single digits
Kasich - next major candidate to drop out, and it wouldn't shock me if Bush came after that.



Deleted User 8570

Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by Deleted User 8570 » Sun Nov 01, 2015 6:16 pm

bmw wrote:I think Trump has more staying power than Carson and that Carson has peaked. I predict Carson's numbers will slowly slide and that his supporters will split between Trump, Rubio, and Cruz.

I stand by my prediction that Kasich will be the next major candidate to drop out.

Polling soon to look something like this:

Trump 33
Carson 15
Rubio 15
Cruz 12
------------
Bush, Huckabee, Fiorina, Christie, Paul - single digits
Kasich - next major candidate to drop out, and it wouldn't shock me if Bush came after that.
Trump looks like he's peaked actually... Carson's national gains are directly correlated with Trumps recent slide. Neither can be elected anyways.



Deleted User 8570

Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by Deleted User 8570 » Mon Nov 02, 2015 10:33 pm

More polls...

Monmouth
New Hampshire Republican Primary:
Trump 26
Carson 16
Rubio 13
Kasich 11
Cruz 9
Bush 7
Christie 5
Fiorina 5
http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/322122 ... 33a44a.pdf

PPP
Iowa Republican Caucus:
Trump 22
Carson 21
Cruz 14
Rubio 10
Jindal 6
Huckabee 6
Bush 5
Fiorina 5

Iowa Democratic Caucus:
Clinton 57
Sanders 25
O'Malley 7
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/ ... 110215.pdf

NBC / WSJ
Overall Republican Nomination:
Carson 29
Trump 23
Rubio 11
Cruz 10
Bush 8
http://on.wsj.com/1P6KYDX



Deleted User 8570

Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by Deleted User 8570 » Tue Nov 03, 2015 9:06 am

NBC / WSJ
Overall Democratic Nomination:
Clinton 62
Sanders 31
http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/h ... rs-n456111



Deleted User 8570

Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by Deleted User 8570 » Tue Nov 03, 2015 12:05 pm

Monmouth
New Hampshire Democratic Primary:
Clinton 48
Sanders 45
http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/322122 ... d8f4d1.pdf

WXIA-TV NBC Atlanta / Survey USA
Georgia Republican Primary:
Trump 35
Carson 28
Rubio 12
Cruz 8

Georgia Democratic Primary:
Clinton 73
Sanders 16
http://www.11alive.com/story/news/polit ... /74819370/



Deleted User 8570

Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by Deleted User 8570 » Tue Nov 03, 2015 2:08 pm

Bay News 9 / News 13 Cable Tampa Bay
Florida Republican Primary:
Trump 37
Carson 17
Rubio 16
Cruz 10
Bush 7

Florida Democratic Primary:
Clinton 66
Sanders 24
http://www.baynews9.com/content/news/ba ... ction.html



ftballfan
Posts: 787
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Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by ftballfan » Wed Nov 04, 2015 3:47 pm

My prediction: The last four are Trump, Carson, Rubio, and Cruz


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk



Deleted User 8570

Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by Deleted User 8570 » Wed Nov 04, 2015 5:08 pm

ftballfan wrote:My prediction: The last four are Trump, Carson, Rubio, and Cruz


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
That is a fairly safe bet I think... Rubio is their only real hope...



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audiophile
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Joined: Sat Dec 04, 2004 9:21 pm
Location: Between 88 and 108 MHz.

Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by audiophile » Wed Nov 04, 2015 6:20 pm

Every time I see Rubio I think of Matt Santos..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SXoLaMhx-zI


Ask not what your country can do FOR you; ask what they are about to do TO YOU!!

Deleted User 8570

Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by Deleted User 8570 » Wed Nov 04, 2015 6:51 pm

audiophile wrote:Every time I see Rubio I think of Matt Santos..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SXoLaMhx-zI
Every time I see Cruz I thing of Peewee Herman... That's one odd looking guy.

Apparently Italian, Irish and Cuban don't produce an appealing person..



bmw
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Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2004 1:02 am

Re: 2016 Presidential Polls

Post by bmw » Thu Nov 19, 2015 12:01 pm

After the attacks in Paris, Carson is done, IMO. I've seen a few of his recent appearances on tv and his complete lack of foreign policy knowledge is going to do him in. He's already taken a 3-4 point hit in the national polls, I expect that number to keep falling until he eventually announces he is withdrawing from the race.

Final 3 will be Trump, Cruz, and Rubio. Christie or Huckabee may emerge as a 4th option. I don't see Bush, Fiorina, or Kasich at the finish line. Paul may stubbornly hang in there but I don't see ever breaking 10 points in the national polls.



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