2022 Election Results Thread

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Ballot measures, so far Prop 3 is 68% to 31%

Remember this is mostly in person vote. Interesting.

[Taco]

The interactive map is fantastic! Isabella Co. is blue thus far along with Oakland, Washtenaw, and Alger Co's.

Ballot measures, so far Prop 3 is 68% to 31%

Remember this is mostly in person vote. Interesting.

[bmw]

Runoff starting to look likely in Georgia. If you compare the gap between Walker and Kemp with the current vote count against the RCP polling average, this probably ends up a 1-point or closer race when counting is done with both candidates just under 50.

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Runoff starting to look likely in Georgia. If you compare the gap between Walker and Kemp with the current vote count against the RCP polling average, this probably ends up a 1-point or closer race when counting is done with both candidates just under 50.

Walker is running roughly 4% behind Kemp so Warnock-Kemp voters were a thing. That’s a bad sign for Walker.

[bmw]

Right now there's a 7.8% difference between Walker's deficit and Kemp's lead. Kemp is favored by 8.3 in the polls. Extrapolated out, that would put Walker at a 0.5% edge if the polls are equally accurate with those 2 races. It's very close.

[Matt]

Ronna McDaniel has lost a lot of weight. She was just on Fox.

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Right now there's a 7.8% difference between Walker's deficit and Kemp's lead. Kemp is favored by 8.3 in the polls. Extrapolated out, that would put Walker at a 0.5% edge if the polls are equally accurate with those 2 races. It's very close.

What I’m saying is that Walker is at 47 and Kemp is at 52. That says folks voted for Kemp and not Walker. This isn’t about polls… this is rubber meeting road. It’s been that way the entire time.

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CNN projects Michael Bennett has won in Colorado.

[TC Talks]

I find it interesting in Oakland county that Whitmer holds 60% of the vote and prop 3 has 72% of the vote.

Oakland county has that coveted female Republicans all are looking for and it seems they certainly are voting in favor of abortion protection even if they are Republican.

If Democrats perform better than expected in Michigan I guarantee you this single issue pulled out younger and more female voters than normal.

[bmw]

RT - My point is that Kemp had a larger lead than Walker did in the polls - Kemp by 8.3 and Walker by 1.4. So the Kemp gap was polled to be 6.9 points higher than the Walker gap anyways. Meaning, that if the currently-counted vote tally is only a 7.8 point difference, that means that Walker is within a point of where he was expected to be, at least relative to Kemp.

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CNN Projects that Wes Moore will be the first black governor of Maryland and Maura Healey will be the first Lesbian Governor in America winning in Massachusetts. Sarah Huckabee Sanders will be the first woman Governor of Arkansas.

[bmw]

As the vote continues to come in for Georgia, that gap difference remains stable. Down a tenth of a point to 7.7.

I'm reasonably confident this will go to a runoff.

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RT - My point is that Kemp had a larger lead than Walker did in the polls - Kemp by 8.3 and Walker by 1.4. So the Kemp gap was polled to be 6.9 points higher than the Walker gap anyways. Meaning, that if the currently-counted vote tally is only a 7.8 point difference, that means that Walker is within a point of where he was expected to be, at least relative to Kemp.

Maybe but the polls were overwhelmingly Republican… I’m not buying the comparison totally. Especially with margins of error and the like.

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As the vote continues to come in for Georgia, that gap difference remains stable. Down a tenth of a point to 7.7.

I'm reasonably confident this will go to a runoff.

I bet Warnock ends up between 49.5 and 49.9

[bmw]

It doesn't matter which way the polls lean, just so long as they lean the same way and by the same amount, then the comparison is valid. Again - at least relative comparison. Obviously if Kemp wins by less than expected, then Walker would be in trouble.

I don't want to think about the circus that will ensue in GA if it goes to runoff with control of the Senate on the line.