2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

[Matt]

Skipped the WaPo poll showing Trump 10 points ahead nationally?

[Rate This]

Skipped the WaPo poll showing Trump 10 points ahead nationally?

I don't skip anything no matter the result.... it could say Trump 100 Biden 0 and I still would run it... however to avoid 20 posts on the same day I wait until the end of the day when it's likely that RCP has updated its list fully and post once. That result is way out of whack with everything else we have seen so far. That poll was from TODAY... therefore it appears now below:

September 24

ABC News / Washington Post
GOP Nomination:
Trump 54
DeSantis 15
Haley 7
Pence 6

General Election:
Trump 52
Biden 42

NBC News
GOP Nomination:
Trump 59
DeSantis 16
Haley 7

General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 46

Biden 46
DeSantis 45

Haley 46
Biden 41

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46
Republicans 45

[paul8539]

Right wing polls give a right wing result. Left wing polls give a left wing result. Nothing new about that.

[Honeyman]

Right wing polls give a right wing result. Left wing polls give a left wing result. Nothing new about that.

So.....you're saying the Washington Post is a right wing publication?

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

Hate to say it, but I think Trump will get back in. The Republicans are going to prolong this shutdown and blame the economic results on Biden.

[Rate This]

Hate to say it, but I think Trump will get back in. The Republicans are going to prolong this shutdown and blame the economic results on Biden.

That usually backfires on the people who try it and not the president.

[radioandtventhusiast]

I honestly think Biden will win again. Trump hasn't really gained new voters for a while now. Yes, his passionate base will get out and vote, but he won't get too many independents, blacks, women, college-educated, and other groups that you need to win an election. Roe V. Wade being overturned didn't go over well with many female voters. I think if the nominee was either Asa Hutchinson, Christie, or Haley, they'd have a bigger chance of defeating Biden. But the GOP will end up caving and nominating Trump despite all of his legal problems. They're going to blow it again. I only see Trump winning if he cheats somehow or if enough GOP congress members object to the certifications like they did in 2021. I wish Chris Sununu won. I really like him.

[Deleted User 15924]

I honestly think Biden will win again. Trump hasn't really gained new voters for a while now. Yes, his passionate base will get out and vote, but he won't get too many independents, blacks, women, college-educated, and other groups that you need to win an election. Roe V. Wade being overturned didn't go over well with many female voters. I think if the nominee was either Asa Hutchinson, Christie, or Haley, they'd have a bigger chance of defeating Biden. But the GOP will end up caving and nominating Trump despite all of his legal problems. They're going to blow it again. I only see Trump winning if he cheats somehow or if enough GOP congress members object to the certifications like they did in 2021. I wish Chris Sununu won. I really like him.

Well, this is an oft repeated comment of mine, and y'all are probably getting sick of it. Sorry.
Aien't nothing means squat until a debate or two. Let's see just how senile Biden comes across. Let's see how boorish Trump acts. I may be full of it, but I truly do believe being seen talking in a setting like that sways minds as much as political ads.

If he plays it right, I don't think it would be hard for Trump to make Biden look like a doddering old man.
But does Trump have enough sense to keep his mouth shut and go that route?

Let Biden talk. Let him stutter and babble and trip over his own words. Ya gotta admit no matter which way you lean, in the debates Joe is not going to come across as being of sound mind. Let him struggle. If whoever (and I know it will probably be Donald) just stays quiet when it's Biden's turn, and doesn't interrupt his ramblings and flubs, I think it will go a long way towards living at 1600 Pennsylvania.

But I got to be honest. And I have no inside scoop or newspaper or commentary to back this up. I think the GOP is going to try and squeeze Donald out. I've said it before. Some back room something. Maybe some movers and shakers in his own party are behind the wealth of information that prosecutors have been "finding". I dunno.

The smart move would be for every GOP congressperson that is not seeking re-election in 2024 to come out and join the Democrats and convict him. But is the GOP that smart?

[Honeyman]

I honestly think Biden will win again. Trump hasn't really gained new voters for a while now. Yes, his passionate base will get out and vote, but he won't get too many independents, blacks, women, college-educated, and other groups that you need to win an election. Roe V. Wade being overturned didn't go over well with many female voters. I think if the nominee was either Asa Hutchinson, Christie, or Haley, they'd have a bigger chance of defeating Biden. But the GOP will end up caving and nominating Trump despite all of his legal problems. They're going to blow it again. I only see Trump winning if he cheats somehow or if enough GOP congress members object to the certifications like they did in 2021. I wish Chris Sununu won. I really like him.

Well, this is an oft repeated comment of mine, and y'all are probably getting sick of it. Sorry.
Aien't nothing means squat until a debate or two. Let's see just how senile Biden comes across. Let's see how boorish Trump acts. I may be full of it, but I truly do believe being seen talking in a setting like that sways minds as much as political ads.

If he plays it right, I don't think it would be hard for Trump to make Biden look like a doddering old man.
But does Trump have enough sense to keep his mouth shut and go that route?

Let Biden talk. Let him stutter and babble and trip over his own words. Ya gotta admit no matter which way you lean, in the debates Joe is not going to come across as being of sound mind. Let him struggle. If whoever (and I know it will probably be Donald) just stays quiet when it's Biden's turn, and doesn't interrupt his ramblings and flubs, I think it will go a long way towards living at 1600 Pennsylvania.

But I got to be honest. And I have no inside scoop or newspaper or commentary to back this up. I think the GOP is going to try and squeeze Donald out. I've said it before. Some back room something. Maybe some movers and shakers in his own party are behind the wealth of information that prosecutors have been "finding". I dunno.

The smart move would be for every GOP congressperson that is not seeking re-election in 2024 to come out and join the Democrats and convict him. But is the GOP that smart?

So your 2 key points are:

1) Trump keeping his mouth shut

2) The GOP having the balls to stand up to him.

Good luck with those.

[Rate This]

September 25

The Messenger / HarrisX
GOP Nomination:
Trump 56
DeSantis 14
Ramaswamy 5
Haley 5

Democratic Nomination:
Biden 62
Kennedy 16
Williamson 6

General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 41

[bmw]

Biden is having a rough two weeks. His approval rating is at a 13-month low and he doesn't lead in any of the 7 polls taken in the past 14 days.

[TC Talks]

Biden is having a rough two weeks. His approval rating is at a 13-month low and he doesn't lead in any of the 7 polls taken in the past 14 days.

That should all change now that Ralph Nader has said he will support Biden.

[Rate This]

September 26

Morning Consult
GOP Nomination:
Trump 58
DeSantis 15
Ramaswamy 9
Haley 7
Pence 6

General Election:
Biden 43
Trump 42

Monmouth
GOP Nomination:
Trump 55
DeSantis 17
Haley 7
Scott 5

St. Anselm
New Hampshire GOP Primary:
Trump 45
Haley 15
DeSantis 11
Christie 10
Ramaswamy 6

CBS News
Iowa GOP Caucus:
Trump 51
DeSantis 21
Haley 8
Scott 6
Pence 6
Ramaswamy 5

New Hampshire GOP Primary:
Trump 50
DeSantis 13
Haley 11
Christie 8
Ramaswamy 8
Scott 5

[Rate This]

September 27

Economist / YouGov
GOP Nomination:
Trump 53
DeSantis 14
Haley 7
Ramaswamy 5

General Election:
Biden 45
Trump 40

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 43
Republicans 40

PPIC
California GOP Primary:
Trump 48
DeSantis 14
Haley 7
Pence 7

California General Election:
Biden 57
Trump 26

[Rate This]

September 28

Newsnation
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 46
Democrats 41