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NFL Playoffs

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Honeyman
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by Honeyman » Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:12 pm

bmw wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:07 pm
I haven't bet so much as a penny on football this year, but if I were to, I'd probably tease the two overs for:

SF-Phi OVER 39.5
CIN/KC OVER 41.5

6.5pt teaser for -130 odds.

That seems safer to me than teasing both underdogs.
When you tease point spreads, you generally like to tease above key numbers, like 3 and 7. This weekend is set up for that. What I am doing is actually a historically successful proposition. So much so, it actually has its own name and is called a "Wong teaser", you can look it up. I just hope it's Wight and not Wong. :lol:


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Matt
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by Matt » Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:24 pm

So we all want SF vs. Cincinnati in Glendale, right?


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bmw
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by bmw » Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:25 pm

Honeyman wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:12 pm
bmw wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:07 pm
I haven't bet so much as a penny on football this year, but if I were to, I'd probably tease the two overs for:

SF-Phi OVER 39.5
CIN/KC OVER 41.5

6.5pt teaser for -130 odds.

That seems safer to me than teasing both underdogs.
When you tease point spreads, you generally like to tease above key numbers, like 3 and 7. This weekend is set up for that. What I am doing is actually a historically successful proposition. So much so, it actually has its own name and is called a "Wong teaser", you can look it up. I just hope it's Wight and not Wong. :lol:
Yeah I understand that strategy, but my confidence of both underdogs avoiding a double-digit loss isn't particularly high.



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Honeyman
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by Honeyman » Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:33 pm

Matt wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:24 pm
So we all want SF vs. Cincinnati in Glendale, right?
I'm more interested in the spreads, but I honestly don't have a team I hate this year. I would like to see Cincy win, only because they are the only one of the teams that hasn't won a SB. But I like Mahomes and think KC fans are some of the best in the NFL.


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craig11152
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by craig11152 » Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:37 pm

Honeyman wrote:
Mon Jan 23, 2023 7:29 pm
They covered the spread in the SB which tells you they did better than Vegas thought they would.
I would say that is a bit of a misnomer. I would argue the spread was just a number to get half the money on each side from the betting public.
I would argue Vegas didn't care who won or by how much unless its a rare situation where their books weren't balanced. Something i doubt happens at an event as big as the Superbowl.


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Matt
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by Matt » Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:39 pm

Honeyman wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:33 pm
Matt wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:24 pm
So we all want SF vs. Cincinnati in Glendale, right?
I'm more interested in the spreads, but I honestly don't have a team I hate this year. I would like to see Cincy win, only because they are the only one of the teams that hasn't won a SB. But I like Mahomes and think KC fans are some of the best in the NFL.
Kansas City is a place that I've been that far exceeded my expectations. I'm not a fan of Andy Reid though...


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Honeyman
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by Honeyman » Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:49 pm

Matt wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:39 pm
Honeyman wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:33 pm
Matt wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:24 pm
So we all want SF vs. Cincinnati in Glendale, right?
I'm more interested in the spreads, but I honestly don't have a team I hate this year. I would like to see Cincy win, only because they are the only one of the teams that hasn't won a SB. But I like Mahomes and think KC fans are some of the best in the NFL.
Kansas City is a place that I've been that far exceeded my expectations. I'm not a fan of Andy Reid though...
Great BBQ and people seemed very cool. City was nice, but I was there in the late spring. Reid's not my favorite, but I don't really dislike him. He won't win father of the year.


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Matt
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by Matt » Sat Jan 28, 2023 4:50 pm

Honeyman wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:49 pm
Matt wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:39 pm
Honeyman wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:33 pm
Matt wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:24 pm
So we all want SF vs. Cincinnati in Glendale, right?
I'm more interested in the spreads, but I honestly don't have a team I hate this year. I would like to see Cincy win, only because they are the only one of the teams that hasn't won a SB. But I like Mahomes and think KC fans are some of the best in the NFL.
Kansas City is a place that I've been that far exceeded my expectations. I'm not a fan of Andy Reid though...
Great BBQ and people seemed very cool. City was nice, but I was there in the late spring. Reid's not my favorite, but I don't really dislike him. He won't win father of the year.
:lol :lol :lol

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MotorCityRadioFreak
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by MotorCityRadioFreak » Sat Jan 28, 2023 7:48 pm

Honeyman wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 2:59 pm
Teasing the dogs tomorrow:

SF +8 1/2 and Cincy +7 1/2.

$1200 to win $1000


Feel free to fade me the way I'm goin'. Should be a great day of football! GL everybody!
Where are you getting these lines? I heard SF +2.5 and Cincy 1.5 from ESPN.


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Honeyman
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by Honeyman » Sat Jan 28, 2023 7:51 pm

MotorCityRadioFreak wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 7:48 pm
Honeyman wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 2:59 pm
Teasing the dogs tomorrow:

SF +8 1/2 and Cincy +7 1/2.

$1200 to win $1000


Feel free to fade me the way I'm goin'. Should be a great day of football! GL everybody!
Where are you getting these lines? I heard SF +2.5 and Cincy 1.5 from ESPN.
Those are the teased lines. +6 for each team.

When you bet a tease, you get each team with an additional 6 points. But both teams have to cover with the teased spread to win the bet, and you pay a premium (-120 to win 100).


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MasterB
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by MasterB » Sat Jan 28, 2023 11:42 pm

49ERS Over Eagles,
Chiefs Over Bengals.


Go Pistons, Let's Go Redwings.

bmw
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by bmw » Sun Jan 29, 2023 5:54 pm

Honeyman, I tried to warn you :lol
bmw wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:25 pm
My confidence of both underdogs avoiding a double-digit loss isn't particularly high.



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moldyoldie
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by moldyoldie » Sun Jan 29, 2023 5:55 pm

Damn, I was hoping for Mr. irrelevant in the Super Bowl. :(


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Honeyman
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by Honeyman » Sun Jan 29, 2023 6:12 pm

bmw wrote:
Sun Jan 29, 2023 5:54 pm
Honeyman, I tried to warn you :lol
bmw wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:25 pm
My confidence of both underdogs avoiding a double-digit loss isn't particularly high.
Hindsight is 20/20. If you would have warned me that my starting qb was going out in the 1st quarter, it might have helped.


You also told me to tease the over....
bmw wrote:
Sat Jan 28, 2023 3:07 pm

SF-Phi OVER 39.5
CIN/KC OVER 41.5

6.5pt teaser for -130 odds.

That seems safer to me than teasing both underdogs.
.....how'd that work out?

That's why they call it gambling. You bet as much as you can afford to lose.

Now I've teased Cincy to the over to chase....always a brilliant strategy. :lol:


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MWmetalhead
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Re: NFL Playoffs

Post by MWmetalhead » Sun Jan 29, 2023 11:14 pm

What a stupid, stupid penalty by the Bungles in the final 15 seconds of their game. That game likely would've been headed to OT if not for that moronic late hit on Mahomes.



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