I'm okay with COVID vaccinations being mandated at the similar levels as smallpox, TB, and all of the other vaccines we've had to get as children. That's nothing new - and no one can deny the benefits these vaccinations have had on public health. We have the ability to mitigate terrible illnesses gi...

I want to be able to go to work and not see co-workers clinging to masks. I want to be able to go to a game at Michigan Stadium next month with a capacity crowd. I want to go on planned vacations and work travel throughout the next year. It isn't the virus that is stopping any of that from happenin...

Even old school Blizzard Bill Spencer was calling for a chance of a derecho in NW Ohio. There's only been 3 in my whole lifetime, so I thought that was a pretty ballsy call, but seeing he's not on the air anymore, he can take that wild chance that a derecho forms and he's the media hero. Instead of...

The only reason I replied to this thread was for the Escalante comment, lol

Her first name is Allison, so I'm not sure what your implication is there. (Please don't answer... this is a rhetorical comment.) That said, this article is complete hogwash. The study cited found no statistical significance in their results, which implies that either the methods are flawed or there...

To the NWS's credit, forecasting derechos is really hard and the science has really improved immensely in the past couple of decades. As an undergrad, I got to participate in a couple of projects and field campaigns to better understand mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), including a project specif...

Grand Rapids NWS remains quite bullish on SW MI seeing extreme impacts overnight. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=SPSGRR&e=202107290209 I am skeptical given the current storm motion. It seems that they're banking on the west-to-east low level jet at 850 to pushes the storms in a ...

I got a chance to look at the 00Z upper level analysis. Of note is the extremely impressive sounding over Minneapolis with SBCAPE at 6060 J/kg(!!) with 37 kt 0-1 km shear, 45 kt 0-6 km shear, and a super elongated hodograph resulting in storm relative helicity values at 392 m^2/s^2 (!!) from 0-1 km ...

Should have the 00 UTC soundings online within the next hours. I'm very interested at seeing what they are showing. I'll update after I do some analysis.

hahah bow echo!

The SPC has decided to go with a high end severe thunderstorm watch with widespread wind gusts of 90+ mph expected.

These storms are certainly taking a while to get organized. Part of the problem, as noted by the NWS offices in Milwaukee and Green Bay is smoke from western wildfires and clouds have blocked some sunlight from reaching the surface limiting some daytime heating. Smoke and dust isn't included in the ...

Thank you so much for your kind words! I love teaching weather, so please don't hesitate to ask questions. This goes for anyone.

And we now have convective initiation around Ashland, Wisconsin. Mesoscale Discussion 1378 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0509 PM CDT Wed Jul 28 2021 Areas affected...portions of east-central and northeast MN...northern WI Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 282209Z - 2...

Theta-e gradient is setting up nicely right along the track of tonights storms.

I think I may have understated the risk tonight for places like Muskegon and Grand Rapids and maybe even Ludington. You are right; storm initiation will probably be in northern WI. If that bow echo or derecho tracks mostly southeastward from, say, Wausau and Green Bay, a good swath of the western t...