Search found 6959 matches

by bmw
Sat May 18, 2024 11:36 am
Forum: Political Potpourri - U.S. and World
Topic: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
Replies: 721
Views: 60993

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

I have no doubt Biden's handlers are looking for a way out (I'm sure they're still not pleased about him committing to it during his Howard Stern appearance), but Biden himself? I think he actually really does want to debate Trump. Even I have to admit that Trump's strength is more in a rally settin...
by bmw
Sat May 18, 2024 11:31 am
Forum: Political Potpourri - U.S. and World
Topic: Let's talk about the merits of the NY case against Trump
Replies: 145
Views: 7367

Re: Let's talk about the merits of the NY case against Trump

I posted last week about how the defense will probably seek a directed verdict. There is no way on earth that this judge grants that motion as the political fallout from such a decision would effectively end this judge's career. As I think about that possibility, I can't even begin to imagine the ou...
by bmw
Sat May 18, 2024 11:23 am
Forum: Political Potpourri - U.S. and World
Topic: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
Replies: 721
Views: 60993

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Read an article this morning where Trump is more or less demanding than Biden take a drug test before the debate. Sounds to me like he is looking for a way out. Not sure why but that is just the feeling I have My guess is that this is not a way to look for an out, but rather pre-building a line of ...
by bmw
Sat May 18, 2024 8:57 am
Forum: Political Potpourri - U.S. and World
Topic: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
Replies: 721
Views: 60993

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

As interesting as the polls are, here are some betting odds as they currently sit at the Bovada Sportsbook: Trump -120, Biden +110 (equates to roughly 54% chance of Trump win, 45% for Biden) Popular vote winner - about 2.5 to 1 in favor of Biden Republican VP favorite - Doug Burgum (Tim Scott and JD...
by bmw
Fri May 17, 2024 10:56 pm
Forum: Political Potpourri - U.S. and World
Topic: The Bias of Alito
Replies: 3
Views: 81

Re: The Bias of Alito

TC Talks wrote:
Fri May 17, 2024 10:00 pm
Does Alito need to recuse himself from Trump hearings in front the Supreme Court?
No. Is a Supreme Court Justice responsible for everything their spouse does?
by bmw
Fri May 17, 2024 11:04 am
Forum: Political Potpourri - U.S. and World
Topic: Biden pulls a Trump
Replies: 8
Views: 159

Re: Biden pulls a Trump

You're raising a bunch of red herrings. All the WSJ is saying is that if there is a legitimate reason for Biden to withhold the recordings, executive privilege isn't one of them.
by bmw
Fri May 17, 2024 10:58 am
Forum: Political Potpourri - U.S. and World
Topic: Biden pulls a Trump
Replies: 8
Views: 159

Re: Biden pulls a Trump

From a purely legal standpoint, the WSJ is correct. Waived privileges can't be reclaimed. That is well-established, and I can think of no reason that the principles at play would be any different when dealing specifically with executive privilege (other than maybe Biden could assert that he is so ol...
by bmw
Fri May 17, 2024 10:54 am
Forum: The Stadium
Topic: Scottie Scheffler arrested for reckless driving and assaulting an officer
Replies: 5
Views: 115

Scottie Scheffler arrested for reckless driving and assaulting an officer

Whoops. https://www.espn.com/golf/story/_/id/40162983/scottie-scheffler-detained-police-prior-start-pga-championship World No. 1 golfer Scottie Scheffler was arrested by Louisville Metro Police on Friday morning after trying to drive into the entrance of Valhalla Golf Club, the site of this week's P...
by bmw
Fri May 17, 2024 10:51 am
Forum: Political Potpourri - U.S. and World
Topic: Let's talk about the merits of the NY case against Trump
Replies: 145
Views: 7367

Re: Let's talk about the merits of the NY case against Trump

Matt - sounds to me like your tune has changed a bit. Just a few months ago you said that Trump had literally no chance of winning. I'm curious what has changed your opinion? RT - Here's the problem with your argument - the polling in 2020 ended up being correct. The polling average never put Trump ...
by bmw
Thu May 16, 2024 11:21 pm
Forum: Political Potpourri - U.S. and World
Topic: Let's talk about the merits of the NY case against Trump
Replies: 145
Views: 7367

Re: Let's talk about the merits of the NY case against Trump

You must have missed where I said her testimony is mostly irrelevant to this case and that she was put on the stand for no reason other than to drag Trump through the mud. Also, Prosecutors told Merchan they have no other witnesses to call after Cohen is off the stand, and the defense said it plans ...
by bmw
Thu May 16, 2024 8:29 pm
Forum: Political Potpourri - U.S. and World
Topic: Let's talk about the merits of the NY case against Trump
Replies: 145
Views: 7367

Re: Let's talk about the merits of the NY case against Trump

Gotta tell ya BMW, your read on this trial is from a Trump loving perspective. For every story that makes it look good for Trump, there are stories that suggest he is in trouble. No. My read on this trial is from the perspective of the principle that the state has a heavy burden in proving its case...
by bmw
Thu May 16, 2024 5:11 pm
Forum: Political Potpourri - U.S. and World
Topic: Let's talk about the merits of the NY case against Trump
Replies: 145
Views: 7367

Re: Let's talk about the merits of the NY case against Trump

Not an unbiased source, but interesting commentary: https://twitter.com/BarbMcQuade/status/1791140571710418963?t=CEIq0uSew5k0Uw2qGvDLgw&s=19 I'd trust McQuade over the view or Ms. Cooper. ...Prosecution spent the entire case preparing for this moment by pre-corroborating his testimony with document...
by bmw
Thu May 16, 2024 4:03 pm
Forum: Political Potpourri - U.S. and World
Topic: Let's talk about the merits of the NY case against Trump
Replies: 145
Views: 7367

Re: Let's talk about the merits of the NY case against Trump

I've been super busy today so haven't been following the news, but the 2 minutes I heard on the radio coming home sounded to me like the prosecution's case is blowing up in its face. Anderson Cooper said Cohen appears to be "making it up as he goes along" and one of the ladies on the View today said...
by bmw
Tue May 14, 2024 1:57 pm
Forum: Political Potpourri - U.S. and World
Topic: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
Replies: 721
Views: 60993

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

I mist-stated that. What I meant to say was that I don't think he'll win by that large of a margin, but that he'll still win. Speaking of the blue wall in the midwest, I see Biden just instituted a 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles. This is one of Trump's big issues at his rallies, and I susp...
by bmw
Tue May 14, 2024 11:22 am
Forum: Political Potpourri - U.S. and World
Topic: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread
Replies: 721
Views: 60993

Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Trump +13 in Nevada. Election almost certainly won't be that close in that state, but I do think Nevada is the most likely pickup for Trump with Georgia being a very close second. That would put him at 254 compared to 2020, then it comes down to 4 states - MI, WI, PA, and AZ. He would need MI alone,...