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2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Sun Feb 04, 2024 2:25 am

Matt wrote: ↑
Sat Feb 03, 2024 8:28 pm
bmw wrote: ↑
Sat Feb 03, 2024 8:22 pm
Matt wrote: ↑
Sat Feb 03, 2024 2:10 pm
 His ceiling is less than what he got in 2020.
Polls suggest otherwise. His highest RCP polling average in 2020 was 45.6. Just last week his average hit an all-time high of 47.5 and he's been pretty consistently above 46 for the past 3 months now.
Polls didn't mean anything when he was way behind in 2020, remember? Maybe there was a course correction that went too far. I don't see him gaining anyone who didn't vote for him before.
I tend to agree with this. There were some exit polls related to independents in New Hampshire that were absolutely terrifying for Trump.


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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Wed Feb 07, 2024 8:30 pm

February 4

NBC News
GOP Nomination:
Trump 79
Haley 19

General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 42

Haley 45
Biden 36

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 49
Democrats 45

February 5

Deseret News / Hinckley Institute
Utah General Election:
Trump 43
Biden 33

February 7

Morning Consult
South Carolina GOP Primary:
Trump 68
Haley 31

Alabama GOP Primary:
Trump 87
Haley 12

California GOP Primary:
Trump 83
Haley 16

North Carolina GOP Primary:
Trump 76
Haley 23

Oklahoma GOP Primary:
Trump 88
Haley 11

Tennessee GOP Primary:
Trump 81
Haley 11

Texas GOP Primary:
Trump 84
Haley 15

Virginia GOP Primary:
Trump 78
Haley 19

Massachusetts GOP Primary:
Trump 69
Haley 28

Economist / YouGov
GOP Nomination:
Biden 81
Haley 13

General Election:
Trump 44
Biden 43

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 45
Republicans 42

NPR / PBS / Marist
General Election:
Biden 48
Trump 47

Biden 46
Haley 45

I&I / TIPP
GOP Nomination:
Trump 74
Haley 17

Democratic Nomination:
Biden 70
Williamson 5

General Election:
Trump 43
Biden 41

Trump 40
Biden 34
Kennedy 8
Manchin 3
West 2
Mapstead 1
Stein 1

Marquette
Wisconsin GOP Primary:
Trump 64
Haley 22

Wisconsin General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 49

Trump 40
Biden 37
Kennedy 16
Stein 2
West 2

Haley 57
Biden 41

Suffolk University
Massachusetts GOP Primary:
Trump 55
Haley 38

Massachusetts Democratic Primary:
Biden 70
Phillips 6
Williamson 5

Massachusetts General Election:
Biden 45
Trump 26
Kennedy 9
West 2
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Sat Feb 10, 2024 1:15 pm

February 8

Morning Consult
GOP Nomination:
Trump 80
Haley 18

General Election:
Trump 45
Biden 40

February 9

Morning Consult
Georgia GOP Primary:
Trump 83
Haley 17

Florida GOP Primary:
Trump 85
Haley 14

Arizona GOP Primary:
Trump 75
Haley 23

Illinois GOP Primary:
Trump 78
Haley 20

Ohio GOP Primary:
Trump 83
Haley 16
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Mon Feb 12, 2024 9:09 pm

February 12

Morning Consult
General Election:
Trump 43
Biden 42
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Tue Feb 13, 2024 1:13 am

February 12

Morning Consult
GOP Nomination:
Trump 80
Haley 18
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Wed Feb 14, 2024 5:48 am

February 13

CBS News

South Carolina GOP Primary:
Trump 65
Haley 30
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Wed Feb 14, 2024 9:34 pm

February 14

Winthrop
South Carolina GOP Primary:
Trump 65
Haley 29

South Carolina General Election:
Trump 50
Biden 35

Haley 47
Biden 29

Economist / YouGov
GOP Nomination:
Trump 82
Haley 11

General Election:
Trump 44
Biden 44

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 44
Republicans 42
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Sat Feb 17, 2024 7:43 pm

February 15

FOX News
Michigan General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 45

Trump 42
Biden 35
Kennedy 11
Stein 3
West 2

North Carolina General Election:
Trump 50
Biden 45

Trump 46
Biden 37
Kennedy 8
Stein 2
West 1

The Hill / Emerson
Maryland General Election:
Biden 55
Trump 32

Biden 47
Trump 31
Kennedy 6
West 1
Stein 1

February 16

The Citadel
South Carolina GOP Primary:
Trump 64
Haley 31

South Carolina General Election:
Trump 54
Biden 35

Haley 50
Biden 28

Emerson
GOP Nomination:
Trump 77
Haley 13

Democratic Nomination:
Biden 74
Phillips 9

General Election:
Trump 45
Biden 44

Trump 40
Biden 38
Kennedy 7
West 1
Stein 1

Trump 46
Newsom 36

Trump 46
Harris 43

Trump 45
Whitmer 33

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 44
Democrats 42

Trafalgar Group
South Carolina GOP Primary:
Trump 63
Haley 34

Insider Advantage
South Carolina GOP Primary:
Trump 60
Haley 38

East Carolina University
South Carolina GOP Primary:
Trump 76
Haley 19

General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 44
Kennedy 2
West 1
Stein 0
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Matt » Sat Feb 17, 2024 8:11 pm

Hilarious that Whitmer is 10 points WORSE than Harris.
Voting for Trump is dumber than playing Russian Roulette with fully loaded chambers.
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Sat Feb 17, 2024 8:18 pm

Matt wrote: ↑
Sat Feb 17, 2024 8:11 pm
 Hilarious that Whitmer is 10 points WORSE than Harris.
It tells me Whitmer is largely unknown and Harris could make a go of it.
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Round Six » Sat Feb 17, 2024 9:16 pm

Matt wrote: ↑
Sat Feb 17, 2024 8:11 pm
 Hilarious that Whitmer is 10 points WORSE than Harris.
Have pollsters been asking about Newsom and Whitmer in Rate's past poll ratings? Interesting.
Life is not a dress rehearsal. This is it. There's no going back, and we can only go forward before we run out of runway.
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Sat Feb 17, 2024 9:44 pm

Round Six wrote: ↑
Sat Feb 17, 2024 9:16 pm
Matt wrote: ↑
Sat Feb 17, 2024 8:11 pm
 Hilarious that Whitmer is 10 points WORSE than Harris.
Have pollsters been asking about Newsom and Whitmer in Rate's past poll ratings? Interesting.
That’s the first I can remember. Harris is a semi-regular one.
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Tue Feb 20, 2024 9:18 pm

February 19

University of Texas
Texas GOP Primary:
Trump 80
Haley 9

General Election:
Trump 48
Biden 41

Trump 45
Biden 36
Kennedy 6
West 3
Stein 2

Biden 40
Haley 31

February 20

USA Today / Suffolk
South Carolina GOP Primary:
Trump 63
Haley 35

The Hill / Emerson
South Carolina GOP Primary:
Trump 61
Haley 39

California GOP Primary:
Trump 72
Haley 20

New York GOP Primary:
Trump 64
Haley 24

Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 45
Biden 43

Trump 42
Biden 37
Kennedy 8
West 2
Stein 1

Trump 48
Newsom 33

Trump 49
Harris 40

California General Election:
Biden 55
Trump 33

Biden 49
Trump 31
Kennedy 8
Stein 1
West 1

New York General Election:
Biden 48
Trump 36

Biden 42
Trump 32
Kennedy 13
West 6

South Carolina General Election:
Trump 51
Biden 37

Rasmussen Reports
General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 41

Trump 43
Biden 37
Kennedy 12

Morning Consult
GOP Nomination:
Trump 81
Haley 18

General Election:
Trump 45
Biden 41
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by TC Talks » Wed Feb 21, 2024 12:38 am

President Biden’s re-election campaign ended January with nearly $56 million on hand, extending his cash advantage over former President Donald J. Trump, whose campaign had about $30 million available at the end of the month.

That is a jump for Mr. Biden, who ended 2023 with $46 million in his campaign coffers, and a tick downward for Mr. Trump’s campaign, which had $33 million on hand at the end of the year.
“Blessed are those who are righteous in his name.”
― Matt

Posting Content © 2024 TC Talks Holdings LP.
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Re: 2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

Post by Rate This » Wed Feb 21, 2024 11:51 pm

February 21

EPIC-MRA
Michigan General Election:
Trump 45
Biden 41

Quinnipiac
GOP Nomination:
Trump 80
Haley 17

Democatic Nomination:
Biden 80
Phillips 15

General Election:
Biden 49
Trump 45

Biden 38
Trump 37
Kennedy 15
West 3
Stein 3

Haley 46
Biden 43

Economist / YouGov
GOP Nomination:
Trump 79
Haley 14

General Election:
Trump 43
Biden 42

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 43
Republicans 41

The Hill / Emerson
Georgia General Election:
Trump 48
Biden 42

Trump 45
Biden 36
Kennedy 6
West 1
Stein 1

Trump 51
Newsom 32

Trump 51
Harris 41

North Carolina General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 44

Trump 46
Biden 37
Kennedy 5
West 1
Stein 1

Trump 49
Newsom 34

Trump 50
Harris 41
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