2024 Presidential Primary Polling Thread

[bmw]

I have no doubt Biden's handlers are looking for a way out (I'm sure they're still not pleased about him committing to it during his Howard Stern appearance), but Biden himself? I think he actually really does want to debate Trump.

Even I have to admit that Trump's strength is more in a rally setting than in a debate setting, particularly without an audience as will be the case here. His debate performances were all over the place during the 2016 Republican primaries, he did respectably well against Hillary, but in 2020 he did not debate well against Biden. He's definitely a wild card, and given his polling leads everywhere, just me personally, I don't think Trump has much to gain by debating. If he does want out, he no doubt wants Biden to be the one to back out.

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I have no doubt Biden's handlers are looking for a way out (I'm sure they're still not pleased about him committing to it during his Howard Stern appearance), but Biden himself? I think he actually really does want to debate Trump.

Even I have to admit that Trump's strength is more in a rally setting than in a debate setting, particularly without an audience as will be the case here. His debate performances were all over the place during the 2016 Republican primaries, he did respectably well against Hillary, but in 2020 he did not debate well against Biden. He's definitely a wild card, and given his polling leads everywhere, just me personally, I don't think Trump has much to gain by debating. If he does want out, he no doubt wants Biden to be the one to back out.

Under my scenario Trump is the one who backs out. You can’t back out of a debate on FOX that Trump has accepted already when FOX hasn’t proposed one…

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May 19

CBS News
Arizona General Election:
Trump 52
Biden 47

Florida General Election:
Trump 54
Biden 45

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

Due to the fact Trump nearly fell the other day at a podium and is slurring words even more, I think Biden has nothing but gain from a debate.

[zzand]

I truly think a debate will show everyone how screwed we are with these two old men being our choices.

[bmw]

Due to the fact Trump nearly fell the other day at a podium...

I saw the video. Talk about grasping for straws The podium itself is what started falling and Trump's physical reaction was that of any normal person. Biden, on the other hand, probably would have went right down to the floor.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

Due to the fact Trump nearly fell the other day at a podium...

I saw the video. Talk about grasping for straws The podium itself is what started falling and Trump's physical reaction was that of any normal person. Biden, on the other hand, probably would have went right down to the floor.

It's not. He was falling over and blaming the place for the podium. He's losing it.

[MotorCityRadioFreak]

https://youtu.be/sSqaOp5xjy8?si=clTV1fKzpZNBN08R

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Due to the fact Trump nearly fell the other day at a podium...

I saw the video. Talk about grasping for straws The podium itself is what started falling and Trump's physical reaction was that of any normal person. Biden, on the other hand, probably would have went right down to the floor.

Let me make sure I have this right… when Biden has a mistake it’s national news… your Orange god almost falls flat on his face because something is objectively cognitively wrong with him and it’s grasping at straws?

[Matt]

Due to the fact Trump nearly fell the other day at a podium...

I saw the video. Talk about grasping for straws The podium itself is what started falling and Trump's physical reaction was that of any normal person. Biden, on the other hand, probably would have went right down to the floor.

Let me make sure I have this right… when Biden has a mistake it’s national news… your Orange god almost falls flat on his face because something is objectively cognitively wrong with him and it’s grasping at straws?

They both fucking suck. Biden's advantage is he hasn't suggested his supporters overthrow the government.

[Turkeytop]

They both fucking suck. Biden's advantage is he hasn't suggested his supporters overthrow the government.

Hey. In 2020 he asked them to overthrow the Trump regime and they did.

[Rate This]

Due to the fact Trump nearly fell the other day at a podium...

I saw the video. Talk about grasping for straws The podium itself is what started falling and Trump's physical reaction was that of any normal person. Biden, on the other hand, probably would have went right down to the floor.

Let me make sure I have this right… when Biden has a mistake it’s national news… your Orange god almost falls flat on his face because something is objectively cognitively wrong with him and it’s grasping at straws?

They both fucking suck. Biden's advantage is he hasn't suggested his supporters overthrow the government.

I didn't say they didn't suck... I was trying to point out that Beemer will not criticize Trump or allow that something may be wrong with him considering all of the verbal malfunctions lately.

May 20

Harvard-Harris
General Election:
Trump 53
Biden 47

Morning Consult
Trump 44
Biden 43

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May 22

Bloomberg / Morning Consult
Michigan General Election:
Biden 46
Trump 45

Biden 42
Trump 40
Kennedy 7
Stein 2
West 1

Arizona General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 44

Trump 45
Biden 40
Kennedy 7
Stein 2
West 1

Georgia General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 44

Trump 44
Biden 39
Kennedy 8
West 1
Stein 1

Nevada General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 47

Trump 44
Biden 39
Kennedy 7
West 2
Stein 1

North Carolina General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 42

Trump 46
Biden 38
Kennedy 7
West 1
Stein 1

Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 48
Biden 46

Trump 45
Biden 42
Kennedy 7
West 2
Stein 1

Wisconsin General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 46

Trump 43
Biden 42
Kennedy 6
Stein 1
West 1

Noble Predictive Insights
Arizona General Election:
Trump 44
Biden 41

Trump 43
Biden 36
Kennedy 8
Stein 2
West 1

UMass Lowell
New Hampshire General Election:
Biden 42
Trump 36
Kennedy 11

Siena
New York General Election:
Biden 47
Trump 38

Vanderbilt University
Tennessee General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 29
Kennedy 8

Quinnipiac
General Election:
Biden 48
Trump 47

Biden 41
Trump 38
Kennedy 14
West 2
Stein 2

Economist / YouGov
General Election:
Trump 41
Biden 40
Kennedy 5
West 1
Stein 1

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 46
Republicans 42

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May 23

High Point University
North Carolina General Election:
Trump 44
Biden 42

UNH
New Hampshire General Election:
Biden 52
Trump 48

Biden 44
Trump 41
Kennedy 3
Stein 2
West 1

Massachusetts General Election:
Biden 68
Trump 32

Biden 55
Trump 26
Kennedy 10
Stein 2
West 1

Rhode Island General Election:
Biden 60
Trump 40

Biden 52
Trump 33
Kennedy 6
West 1
Stein 0

Marquette
General Election:
Trump 50
Biden 50

Trump 40
Biden 37
Kennedy 17
West 3
Stein 3

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 50
Democrats 50

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May 24

Cook Political Report
Michigan General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 45

Trump 43
Biden 40
Kennedy 7
Stein 2
West 2

Arizona General Election:
Trump 45
Biden 44

Trump 41
Biden 37
Kennedy 10
West 2
Stein 1

Georgia General Election:
Trump 47
Biden 44

Trump 42
Biden 38
Kennedy 10
West 2
Stein 1

Nevada General Election:
Trump 49
Biden 40

Trump 43
Biden 35
Kennedy 10
Stein 3
West 2

North Carolina General Election:
Trump 48
Biden 41

Trump 44
Biden 36
Kennedy 8
West 3
Stein 1

Pennsylvania General Election:
Trump 48
Biden 45

Trump 43
Biden 40
Kennedy 7
West 2
Stein 2

Wisconsin General Election:
Trump 45
Biden 45

Trump 41
Biden 41
Kennedy 9
Stein 1
West 1

Cascade PBS / Elway
Washington State General Election:
Biden 42
Trump 34

South Dakota News / USD
South Dakota General Election:
Trump 50
Biden 31
Kennedy 11

Emerson
General Election:
Trump 46
Biden 44

Trump 44
Biden 39
Kennedy 6
West 1
Stein 1

Generic Congressional Ballot:
Republicans 45
Democrats 44